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Misc 2018 Banter & Venting Thread

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At exactly 2:30 this afternoon, everyone on here needs to go outside and aggressively and forcibly exhale; that simultaneous, concentrated and collective burst of warm air and moisture might rise to the heavens, lead to a SSW event and then ...
o_O
 
At exactly 2:30 this afternoon, everyone on here needs to go outside and aggressively and forcibly exhale; that simultaneous, concentrated and collective burst of warm air and moisture might rise to the heavens lead to a SSW event and then ...
o_O
Or just take 5 away from the keyboard

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This had marginal written on it from the get go, clipper type with some tail end development. Hard for a Gulf tap when the H5 trough cuts through the TN Valley. I would keep an eye on the 23-24th and more importantly the 29th for a big EC event. Guidance is wanting to take the MJO in to the circle of death in the next 7-10 days followed by what looks to be some amplitude in to phase 7 towards the end of the month. A true January thaw seems unlikely, and with a good look as we head in to Feb this should go down as one of the colder winters in recent memory. Wonder if the Sun has anything to do with it.
 
And like I said, us amateurs don't worry about a pattern lol... Winter beat threads are about looking for storms, not that for us. Why I wanted to wait.
 
Again, the thread was made so people wanting to read about the pattern/overview of January could in the main January thread. The glorified clipper of doom thread was created because the talk of it dominated the thread.

It has nothing to do with early thread creation, jinxes, or whatever.
 
Soo I got into a heated exchange with stormtracker from American and I think I'm about to be banned lol

He's a cool dude; I highly doubt he's going to ban you unless you do something detrimental to the website.
 
Again, the thread was made so people wanting to read about the pattern/overview of January could in the main January thread. The glorified clipper of doom thread was created because the talk of it dominated the thread.

It has nothing to do with early thread creation, jinxes, or whatever.
Yes it does. When this thread hit the interwebs an immediate ripple went to the models which went into the future and caused the pattern to change to a failure. Geez it's simple

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Definitely no reason whatsoever to start storm threads before 48 hours prior to impacts in the western SE areas like Louisiana and Arkansas. Our NWP just isn't good enough (well, really our data collection to feed the NWP isn't good enough)

ETA: I understand the point of storm threads is to separate the conversation. What I'm really saying is that we all have to calm down and chill until we get to 48 hours out.
 
19th and 28th are money on the GFS! Somebody start the threads! They can't miss
 
Anyone on here from Hawaii? I bet that ballistic missile drill/snafu was creepy!
 
Yea, that was messed up.

Well, lets hope they get off the "omg you messed up!" and learn from it. Learning from how fast people reacted, how fast they believed the message, etc. It can be a learning experience to improve the system, imo. Literally, they just accidentally did a real world test of the defense warning system; which isn't totally bad..
 
That's not even interesting to experience. Not at all. Nope. That or it being deep in the negative. Would I like to see more snow than I do (anywhere I go)? Yep. Would I like to see absolute extremes? No.

Truthfully, it being very dry bothers me a lot more than cold outside of 1 thing that I'll start doing next week.
I was talking about snow climo versus cold air. Average snow here is about 2 inches, and we have had 4 times that amount.
 
This was what people’s phones was saying.
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Pretty sure Dave Tolleris put out the HI alert, he has been doing this crap for snow in the MA for years.
 
The Euro is about to be 0/6 on how it depicts things this winter. I think the King has been dethroned completely this year.

And I asked specifically to wait by the way. I really don't think winter beat threads are about patterns with most of the "normal" people, it's about the chase for something.
how can you say that when the event or non-event is still days away?
 
19th and 28th are money on the GFS! Somebody start the threads! They can't miss

Just wait until the 19th when that perfectly placed s/w moves across the south and creates a miller a with a perfect track except with no cold air. The groaning will be incredible.
 
Whew, I thought this forum was dedicated to discussing the weather. It appears that for many folks on here, their hobby isn't following weather, but whining, complaining, arguing, and being overdramatic! I think I need a break for a bit.
 
totally disagree, even .10 of qpf with the ratios can be 2-3 inches
I agree with you stormlover, seems the same people control this forum. Been on here for over 6 years back to talkweather. Same people, they know who they are. Kind of tired of it. My two cents, will log off now
 
I agree with you stormlover, seems the same people control this forum. Been on here for over 6 years back to talkweather. Same people, they know who they are. Kind of tired of it. My two cents, will log off now

Have fun in Disney Land.
 
I agree with you stormlover, seems the same people control this forum. Been on here for over 6 years back to talkweather. Same people, they know who they are. Kind of tired of it. My two cents, will log off now
Lol heaven forbid people have different opinions.

Let's change the forum to where everyone has to agree and be unrealistic. Good idea

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I agree with you stormlover, seems the same people control this forum. Been on here for over 6 years back to talkweather. Same people, they know who they are. Kind of tired of it. My two cents, will log off now
Really!!!! Before I became a mod a few weeks ago. These guys have been totally fair and let a lot of things slide that probably shouldn’t have. If you don’t like how this forum works. Your more then welcome to leave!!!!!!!! Go back to talkweather and talk to yourself!!!
 
Whew, I thought this forum was dedicated to discussing the weather. It appears that for many folks on here, their hobby isn't following weather, but whining, complaining, arguing, and being overdramatic! I think I need a break for a bit.
It's so serious and personal for people

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Whew, I thought this forum was dedicated to discussing the weather. It appears that for many folks on here, their hobby isn't following weather, but whining, complaining, arguing, and being overdramatic! I think I need a break for a bit.
Yeah, I feel a bit like I fall into that category at the moment, and if I do in any way I'll stop gladly. This winter is screwing with people, we get it, but every day it's like I'm reading posts by a bunch of children. Let's get our minds off complaining about what we don't have and maybe even try and predict this thing with less support from models. Maybe go read up on some things that influence snow in the south, then come back knowing more and feeling less and less about each model run. Also, take a class in patience and not screaming at every clock tick that the weather models seem to be.
 
I just handed out a free trip to Disney Land to someone. The problem is; I forgot to give them the return ticket. :(
 
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