Misc General Banter Thread

[GeorgiaGirl]

Atlanta after the 00z ICON and GFS runs.

I needed that laugh considering that those of us in GA/SC are probably trending to precip start time being after it warms.

This is a good thing, but idk why I’ve been feeling glum. Think I’ve spent too much time around y’all and will dive into a new book for me tomorrow.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

y’all worried about sleet cutting into your snow totals and I’m over here worrying about literally dying smh

 

[ducketta27]

AGS to CAE escapes all precip… what a bust. It’s officially over for us, crew. [mention]GeorgiaGirl [/mention] [mention]Flo [/mention] it’ll be sunny and 75 by Sunday


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[Rain Cold]

Calling it a night. I'll sleep better if I have the amped CMC, UK, and Euro waiting on me when I wake up.

 

[Snowfan]

2.5 right over my house

SKI PARTY ON I-75!

 

[atlwx]

I needed that laugh considering that those of us in GA/SC are probably trending to precip start time being after it warms.

This is a good thing, but idk why I’ve been feeling glum. Think I’ve spent too much time around y’all and will dive into a new book for me tomorrow.

Same. Strange felling being on the edge of relief and disappointment. I’m just done and want a consensus. Closure. lol.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Calling it a night. I'll sleep better if I have the amped CMC, UK, and Euro waiting on me when I wake up.

You can sleep in February. I promise

 

[JP152]

GFS actually a better run for MA. Definitely a south trend from 18Z. Maybe a couple more runs like this and NC back In the game?

 

[Snowflowxxl]

UKMET and CMC gonna show a severe threat here soon

 

[Snowfan]

UKMET and CMC gonna show a severe threat here soon

So will the Euro at this rate.

 

[TheWeatherDriver]

Can someone please explain why the euro and gfs are so far apart this close to the event? The atmospheric physics equations shouldn’t change? Is it the speed of things? It almost has to be. The Euro doesn’t have a hold on this and neither does the GFS

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Some of these low 70s popping up actually sound amazing

 

[jackendrickwx]

if we get 2-4” sleet and .5-.7” ZR on top that is a catastrophe. No driving on that glacier to fix lines

 

[sackjalding]

ICON and GFS are concerning for atl with the wedge. Will these next models hold the wedge?!

 

[8miles]

Can’t even imagine what 6” of sleet looks like

 

[TigerSnow]

So we basically still have zero idea? Do we go Euro or GFS? Crazy we still cannot figure this out.

 

[billyweather]

It seems like the models are still struggling heavily with this system. It’s really going to be a “nowcasting” event.

 

[Sctvman]

 

[Bigedd09]

Canadian very much like all the other 0z data. I think we’re coming to a consensus.

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[TigerSnow]

Can someone explain the difference between the GFS and Euro solutions for me? What does that mean zr/ip wise for the Carolina's from either one. Don't want to post in the storm thread since this is banter.

 

[atlwx]

Huh, it is dropping 1.82 inches of ice in ATL. even if you cut it in half that leaves .91 and cut by 75% that leaves .60...scary man!

Doomscrolling. But math.

 

[TigerSnow]

Canadian very much like all the other 0z data. I think we’re coming to a consensus.

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Are we iced up in our area then? Will sleet save us?

 

[ontherocks]

The last time the power was out from ice it was this in the pink and it was 4.5 days…..even if we cut the totals by more than what is probably reasonable, we gots problems.

 

[lusting4Adusting]

Legit question, obviously North AL is getting warm advection out the yang due to the phasing, amping and popping a low, so rain it shall be for the most part. However, some of those lows are showing as Miller B transfers and some showing as basically cutters/apps runners. Would the area likely have a better shot at heavier backside precip if the apps runner idea actually verified considering the backside usually drys out extremely quickly following the transfer off the coast?

 

[Bigedd09]

Are we iced up in our area then? Will sleet save us?

It switches over to ice later but it’s a good 12ish hours of sleet


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[GeorgiaGirl]

The Canadian is a pretty good idea of how the wedge will work in Georgia with a normal CAD deal. 2-3 counties to my north may have a major issue with icing and I am most certainly not in the 60’s like the Euro suggests, only the 40’s.

And with that, I say good night…and hopefully I can stay asleep through to 6:00ish at least.

 

[tractor girl]

Seeing massive amounts of ZR in my backyard in the 00z runs tonight.
I don't live and die by single runs, but dang, it's been fairly consistent the last few runs

That said I prepared earlier this week and am ready with generator (my dad's old 5000kw unit), firewood, propane, and lots of easy to make food.

No idea what we're gonna end up with, but it's been a fun ride and I learn a little more from everyone here every time I log on and read the threads.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

genuinely disturbed by what I’m seeing tonight. This ---- ain’t fun any more

 

[BullCityWx]

Look, this is just one mans opinion but:

I think this could be one of the worst disasters in Carolina history, especially if I am anywhere near 85 and South to 20 in SC. If I have elderly parents, they are losing their independence until the end of next week. There’s going to be a massive need for warming shelters because if that ZR comes to fruition, this is going to be like nothing we’ve ever seen.

You better do everything you can think of to bring us good luck and have it trend toward more sleet.

 

[atlwx]

Seeing massive amounts of ZR in my backyard in the 00z runs tonight.
I don't live and die by single runs, but dang, it's been fairly consistent the last few runs

That said I prepared earlier this week and am ready with generator (my dad's old 5000kw unit), firewood, propane, and lots of easy to make food.

No idea what we're gonna end up with, but it's been a fun ride and I learn a little more from everyone here every time I log on and read the threads.

Yeah. About to enter full on panic mode. Need more gas cans. Was really hoping the GFS was going to offer some relief with the 0z.

I’m cheering on the google model.

 

[ontherocks]

This might be a dumb question but does the NBM have specific ice totals? I think I’ve only seen snowfall?

 

[Bigedd09]

It looks like the Canadian really bumped up the sleet totals opposed to 12z in the cad areas of the Carolina’s. Like Charlotte area went from 1.2 to 2.1


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[ontherocks]

This might be a dumb question but does the NBM have specific ice totals? I think I’ve only seen snowfall?

I think I see my answer in the main thread.

 

[crecre9]

I need to remember a line we often use at my job:
"All models are wrong. Some models are useful."

 

[crecre9]

But to be honest, I'm not sure what use at all our weather models are for impactful winter events beyond maybe 60 hours out.

 

[Bigedd09]

Better not do it again (gulf coast storm)

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[TheWeatherDriver]

Google model and Euro vs GFS, CMC, UKMET, NAM...WHO WILL WIN????? Most of the time its the euro and google model but this time I feel like the cad and low pressure system is being poorly modeled all the way around ngl

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

if we get 2-4” sleet and .5-.7” ZR on top that is a catastrophe. No driving on that glacier to fix lines

Now now….. add the 2-4” Snow between front end and the deform at the end.

!! - 4-8” SN/IP and 1/2” -1” ZR


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[BufordWX]

FFC hasn’t issued an Ice Storm Warning for any part of their area since February 2014. I wonder if we might get one out of this system?

 

[WxDawgWx]

Better not do it again (gulf coast storm)

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Buying my snowblower now. 2 years in a row baby!!