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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

NCwx1992 said:
of course in general ZR is the bigger concern for downing power lines/trees falling/etc. but if we get multiple inches of sleet on top of many inches of snow, would that end up having a similar effect? im just imagining power lines being covered in snow that by itself is light enough to not be an issue, but then a thick layer of ice OR sleet could weigh everything down...
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No. Sleet bounces off. You avoid frzng rain, you good. Only fly in ointment would be double digit snowfall accums, especially if its wet snow, which this will not be. and 15 inches of snow can do a few tricks to power, trees. But it pales in comparison to frzng rain with temps in low 20's.
 
We usually cut these storm totals in half qpf wise, we have done it many times. I don't see a reason to not do that now. These 4" totals on some maps seem way off to me. Based off previous climatology etc it just seems like this will not be a real solution. I think in the next few days we see this trend towards a drier solution.
 
Makeitsnow said:
good lord. storm totals well above 3 inches and even approaching 4 inches in spots.
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Atlanta appears to be ground zero. Can you even imagine

Whoever stays 5 miles above the mix line is going to rake. Generational stuff here
 
SnowDoomer21 said:
whats the chances of the freezing rain part of the storm reaching parts of SE AL into South Ga? cause it looks like its trending south a bit
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I don’t think anyone has a clue. This wedge is already wedging, at least on models, in places previously thought not possible. We have no clue what this thing is capable of
 
This setup is so amazing. We have a historically strong high pressure system setting up near Michigan and then moisture from the gulf. It’s been years since we’ve seen something like this…I think a lot of us are still stuck in a low snow mode from the last several years. I just hope the QPF is off because if we get this much, someone is going to get hammered by ice
 
SnowDoomer21 said:
whats the chances of the freezing rain part of the storm reaching parts of SE AL into South Ga? cause it looks like its trending south a bit
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The closer you are to Georgia you have a chance if the CAD is strong enough, where I’m at in south central Alabama I’ll probably see mostly rain
 
Southern Track said:
Wow could it possibly retrograde to be left behind?
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If that happens, you'll see some drastically reduced amounts IF it completely cuts off in a Rex Block/Omega Block. Seen it happen in the past. Throwing it out there just in case.
But this isn't a huge move yet, probably will not be a huge factor on this run.
 
Makeitsnow said:
good lord. storm totals well above 3 inches and even approaching 4 inches in spots.
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These are QPF totals you would get with a land falling tropical system. I don't believe I've ever seen so much moisture in conjunction with a Southeastern winter storm. Some areas affected by the freezing rain from this storm will qualify for disaster relief. It will end up causing more tree and power line destruction than areas affected by a major hurricane because the damage will be so widespread.
 
weather bubba said:
These are QPF totals you would get with a land falling tropical system. I don't believe I've ever seen so much moisture in conjunction with a Southeastern winter storm. Some areas affected by the freezing rain from this storm will qualify for disaster relief. It will end up causing more tree and power line destruction than areas affected by a major hurricane because the damage will be so widespread.
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2014 here in Augusta/Aiken… Governor Haley came and toured Aiken, SC after our 1.25 inches of ice… it was a war zone. Hoping we avoid take 2 here…


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
It’s really not about this “going north” what we’re dealing with is an expansion of the precip shield due to the northern stream ingesting the Baja low into the system as a whole. This is a country wide storm
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No it most definitely is about going north I’m not trying to send a low into the southern apps with this like some models have and go to ice here in NE TN
 
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