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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

rburrel2 said:
Gfs ai is predictably trending 1-2 degrees colder with every run. You can set your clock to it. It’s been like 8 runs in a row now.

Here’s the trend as the event is starting to ramp up.

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It also has a Winter Storm going from Saturday morning to nearly Tuesday morning.

I think it’s close to time to mention the possibility of a second round after the main one. Models have been teasing at this. Reminds me of what happened to our West in Feb 2021 when they had two Winter storms
 
Mitch West said:
It also has a Winter Storm going from Saturday morning to nearly Tuesday morning.

I think it’s close to time to mention the possibility of a second round after the main one. Models have been teasing at this. Reminds me of what happened to our West in Feb 2021 when they had two Winter storms
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The gfs has this also. As the main axis pivots we go from a sw to ne movement to a Nw to se movement and a switch back to snow
 
rburrel2 said:
These model runs are complete and total insanity. 2-4 inch liquid amounts all frozen, 48-60 hr duration time, temps in the teens and low 20s, gusty winds….

This one will be in the history books, right next to march 93 and January 88.
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The winds especially in the traditional CAD areas are going to be brutal. 10-20mph sustained with gusts over 30mph on the GFS
 
broken025 said:
Ah yes negative 15 degrees Tuesday morning. That’ll be fun.View attachment 186195
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Well I can tell you that CLT is not gonna beat it’s all time record low by by 10 degrees. However if there is the snow/sleet pack that models are indicating, this will be the best chance the airport has had to go sub zero since 1985
 
Chazwin said:
Well I can tell you that CLT is not gonna beat it’s all time record low by by 10 degrees. However if there is the snow/sleet pack that models are indicating, this will be the best chance the airport has had to go sub zero since 1985
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The combination of snow pack and arctic air definitely gives the credence to all time record breaking low temps. Idk about -15 but I wouldn’t be surprised if we aren’t pushing -5 to -10
 
iGRXY said:
Ghe transition line is going to be a Warzone. Which looks like 85 imo. The swath of potential with what looks like 2” of liquid and the heaviest rates. Anywhere from 5” to 18-24” is a legit possibility
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Just to the south of spots that stay all snow, there’s probably gonna be a 15-20 mile wide corridor that is absolutely bombed with sleet.
 
Let’s talk sleet ratios. lol.

I asked grok about sleet with a very weak 1 Celsius warm layer at 700mb and -10 Celsius 925mb layer and here’s what it said.

Confirmed the stuff Webber brought up about some semblance of snow growth.

Shockingly, a lot of us are going to be in this situation this weekend. We’re going to get to see some wonky hybrid sleet/snow mixes.

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I believe that’s one thing that models won’t tell you.

There’s going to be a big zone in the heart of CAD country that gets more like 4/5:1 ratios Sunday morning from a “snow/sleet” mix… that’s a result of a lot of weird stuff going on.
Partially melted flakes… refreezing/crystallizing due to a very thick and sub -10c cold layer below 750mb.
 
Not the mama said:
Are we playing in blizzard of 93s sandbox or is that just being over dramatic because we haven’t seen snow on so long.
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Nothing used to describe this storm is going to be over dramatic. It’s a one in 100 year type event.

This is going to make January88 look like an Alberta clipper.
 
Forgive me for posting these maps, but I think it paints an awesome picture. Definitely should be a lot more sleet. Here’s the last frame and totals.
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So near atl these snow maps are kind of decieving in the fact it shows a sharp snow cutoff above us but we are still getting tons of freezing and sleet?
 
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