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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

I mentioned this last night, but often the best storms for the northern GA and the western/central Carolinas follow this script. Model latch onto a storm signal, trend south up to 48-72 hours of an event and then correct north some leading up to go time. Also, and I’m sure Webb and others will mention this more in the coming days, but in an overrunning precip event like what is being depicted, moisture will be quite a bit more expansive to the north. than what’s being shown
 
Could this end up like 1973? Setup is probably way different, that is over my pay grade lol.

Feb1973SnowfallAccum.png
 
Could this end up like 1973? Setup is probably way different, that is over my pay grade lol.

Feb1973SnowfallAccum.png
This storm is feeling like a hybrid of January ‘88 and possibly Feb ‘73. ‘88 was all overrunning from west to east so more areas west were impacted. ‘73 was just a cold Deep South Miller A, although the recent AI GFS Kylo just posted brings this in as a possible desert.
 
I mentioned this last night, but often the best storms for the northern GA and the western/central Carolinas follow this script. Model latch onto a storm signal, trend south up to 48-72 hours of an event and then correct north some leading up to go time. Also, and I’m sure Webb and others will mention this more in the coming days, but in an overrunning precip event like what is being depicted, moisture will be quite a bit more expansive to the north. than what’s being shown
Get a leeside meso L to pop and it will go boom in WNC.
 
I grew up in MD, so in my experience up there, the GFS would go SE between days 4-6 then correct back north. Perfectly fine with the snow max being in SE NC at this stage. Will be a close call for us in the triangle but we’re in a solid spot right now
 
Though I’d love to see that GFS run, this trending south and out of sight are the least of my worries. It trending south and colder is the positive takeaway - of course, I could be wrong
Yeah nobody on here should be worried about over suppression...not even in the Virgina guys.
 
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