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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

and this is the model we want showing this out of all of them correct?
The AI models have done a better job this season locking in systems and then staying consistent over time most of the way to the event. However, its still too far out to make any conclusions, both AI models just had tad too much bump of the SE ridge and that is all.
 
Might be banter (and sorry if it is), but what needs to happen to make this more of a snow/sleet then Freezing rain? Would love to see this trend colder at 850 temps. 6 to 7 days away.
Not banter at all. The surface cold air is there, no doubt. It comes down to the mid and upper level features. If the wave is too strong, then warm air advection in the mid levels will turn snow over to sleet or freezing rain. You want a weaker wave.
 
If you like snow instead of ice and rain… root for the euro to be more right than the gfs ai with this feature at hour 90.

Gfs ai slings that lobe down to the west coast and wrecks our perfect pattern look.

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