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Misc General Banter Thread

WolfpackHomer91 said:
I’d like to see Mitch Score … but anyone else in Eastern Parts can suck a mules rear end. Sorry I can respect losing to the Mountains/Roanoke/Foothills even but enough with losing to the freaking PeeDee / Sandhills for godsakes lol like what is this world? Just hope if it comes to it, the mix line sets up just east of Mitch but then 1 mile away everyone from there to the coast is 32.5 -33 degree rain and like 2-3” of it just to sulk in what could’ve been. …. ESPECIALLY NE NC and VA Todewater


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no offense to Mitch who we all love...GSP and areas NW are in a way bigger snow drought
 
Oconeexman said:
Until you move we are screwed...im convinced. Columbia (armpit) to the coast will soon surpass our yearly snow average. Elevation means nothing anymore. Until we get a CAD setup with a true gulf tap we get skunked for measurable snow
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I’m actually starting to wonder how long this can last. It’s becoming enjoyable to me. Can we go 10 years?
 
I kind of have a feeling that we all need the euro to stay the course, and not start that northwest trend yet… with a lot of models showing temperature issues… we may be going back to needing “proof of concept”…. That it CAN be cold.. There is simply a lot of warm modeling as Weber highlighted a day or so ago.


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Ross said:
i have delirious optimism bc of how much i want to watch playoff football and drink stella artois in my buddy's backyard with snow falling
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Drinking with snow falling is pretty fire
 
Rain Cold said:
And I really don't like probability forecasting. I know some do, but it's basically just taking available model guidance and running it through a math equation to arrive at a number that you can slap in a "forecast".

I don't believe it's a ton more helpful to the public to say there's a 30% probability (vs 40% or 50%) of an inch of snow and a 15% probability (vs 25% or 35%) of 4" of snow than it is to say, we're watching the chance of snow on Sunday. Right now, it's most likely that if anything falls, it will be on the low end...around an inch or two. But that could change, so stay tuned.
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This is a very interesting discussion to be had!

Probabilistic forecasting is important for meteorologists who are proving context to meteorologists, like NWS briefing TV Mets.. but probabilities are very confusing to the general public. Most, especially the uneducated, just want to know WHAT will happen (deterministic) while the atmosphere is inherently a chaotic, probabilistic system.

How do you communicate literally probabilistic elements to a public that requires deterministic forecasts? It is a tough challenge. Many just go with the probabilities to cover their rear ends, but it may not be the best way to communicate with most of the general public.
 
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