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Misc General Banter Thread

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wow can't wait for the Roanoke snowhole to show up on Saturday morning
 

GaStorm said:
The coastal storm last year was a different scenario due to the insanely negative AO which isn't as negative this go around. Hoping for more widespread snow further north this time.
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I think the sky is the limit on how far NW this really can come. There’s really no overly bearing sagging airmass it necessarily must carve around. And I still expect it to moderate a bit even still. Hoping is the fun part
 
a_gilmore88 said:
Hard to hate the trends if you’re along the I-85 corridor in NC. Hoping we can stay west of the inevitable sleet zone, but at this point I wouldn’t even care if we got sleet. I am desperate for any type of winter weather or storm.
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May not be a sleet zone or at least a very narrow transition zone with this set up.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Once we get the synoptic details pinned down this thing is probably going to shift north and west, and possibly a good bit at that, even down to the 0 hour.

Overrunning events are basically driven by a large-scale warm front aloft “overrunning” a cold low level Arctic air mass. Models just plain suck with warm advection
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Ok, we're talking about overrunning now? Great, this will be a good test to see if we can still get a good overrunning event for CLT area. Is it the January 1988 kind? Or 2014, that gave a car topper to most of the piedmont? Back in 22 we got a few car toppers from it. Sounds like the NW trend is car topper stuff, not 1988 stuff.

I'll take what I get at this point but I'm trying manage my expectations here.
 
SnowNiner said:
Ok, we're talking about overrunning now? Great, this will be a good test to see if we can still get a good overrunning event for CLT area. Is it the January 1988 kind? Or 2014, that gave a car topper to most of the piedmont? Back in 22 we got a few car toppers from it. Sounds like the NW trend is car topper stuff, not 1988 stuff.

I'll take what I get at this point but I'm trying manage my expectations here.
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Overrunning around MLK Day is what I’ve been thinking for a while now. The overall pattern has a very 2014 feel to it.

Webberweather53 said:
Our best bet is to let the first system go by & then score a southern slider/overrunning type event around MLK Day after the big vortex drops in.
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SnowNiner said:
Ok, we're talking about overrunning now? Great, this will be a good test to see if we can still get a good overrunning event for CLT area. Is it the January 1988 kind? Or 2014, that gave a car topper to most of the piedmont? Back in 22 we got a few car toppers from it. Sounds like the NW trend is car topper stuff, not 1988 stuff.

I'll take what I get at this point but I'm trying manage my expectations here.
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Compared to how Jan 2014 evolved, this event is ahead of schedule/more NW in the model world at this range. Though the models are better now than they were then, they still suck at forecasting warm advection & isentropic upglide.
 
Okay we're seriously getting to the point where we're playing with fire for my intents and purposes.

This works on this run, but I'd love if it stopped now lol.

Would be a heck of a trend as is. From looking like not much to 2-3 inches of snow.
 
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