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Misc General Banter Thread

packfan98 said:
We’ve got the AI GEFS. Maybe it’s trolling us???

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It very well could be correct. Shows a three day cool down on days 12-15 (your map above), but it still has an overall warm look (whole run) for the southeast. Western US mountain areas might do well. Here's day 16 temp anomalies:

1767267360659.pngHopefully this is wrong, scary thing is the (regular) GFS is way warmer.
 
I think early this morning is the last time I'm going to be doing the tradition I started with the pandemic, which was stay up for the ball dropping. Yikes.

I'm never going to be able to up at 4 AM though @Mitch West but I used to be a major night owl. That started to change when I was 25, but I still was sometimes doing 1 to 9's for when I slept.
 
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GeorgiaGirl said:
I think early this morning is the last time I'm going to be doing the tradition I started with the pandemic, which was stay up for the ball dropping. Yikes.

I'm never going to be able to up at 4 AM though @Mitch West but I used to be a major night owl. That started to change in the early 20's, but I still was sometimes doing 1 to 9's for when I slept.
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I was forced to be up at midnight due to my neighbors blowing up half the neighborhood from what sounded like fireworks they got deported from Japan.
 
Remember a couple of days ago when we were looking at at the 1/8 to 1/10 period for a potential winter storm threat? Now it's supposed to be in the 60s here that period. At least it will be warm. Saturday with rain and a high 0f 40 is going to suck.
 
Hate it's gotten to this point but local law enforcement is going to need to crack down on firearm discharges within city limits. It's technically not legal but not enforced. Local facebook is full of pictures of bullet dents on cars this AM.

It's different than back in the day where rural folks would pop off shotguns or whatever on New Years. Now suburbanites are firing off semi-auto .223 and whatever else that actually causes damage when it comes down.
 
ChrisAMB said:
Hate it's gotten to this point but local law enforcement is going to need to crack down on firearm discharges within city limits. It's technically not legal but not enforced. Local facebook is full of pictures of bullet dents on cars this AM.

It's different than back in the day where rural folks would pop off shotguns or whatever on New Years. Now suburbanites are firing off semi-auto .223 and whatever else that actually causes damage when it comes down.
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Oh I know it's gotten ridiculous

I mean we're not in the middle of nowhere here either. There's people all around

Some lady got killed on her front porch the other day in a small town on the other side of the state by a dude doing target practice! I mean come on
 
Latest 12Z GFS. Pleasant spring weather in the east, west stays cold. Pattern is NOT going to break this year, weather fans. It's going to prove BAM, Mitch et al completely wrong. This winter in the east is absolutely cooked. It was over after the three weeks of sustained below normal in early December. Time to switch to other hobbies and let this one go until severe weather season kicks up in a month. I am definitely going to be sustained on one tank of propane this winter! I like that prospect, honestly!

You've got to be impressed with that Bermuda high! Not even a SE ridge, that's a downright, summer pattern! The real negative with this pattern is the trough is so far west, we can't get any moisture feed off the Gulf of America. We are going in to spring with a large rainfall deficit. We need that front to stall just to my west, from LA to WV. Hopefully February sets up with a western trough just a little farther east so we can get some good training storms!
 

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Just wow. Mid January. How many times has it been 70s in January?
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Bigedd09 said:
Not gonna lie this is tough to witness lol. Is there any hope at all


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There will be an event at some point and everyone on the forum will have to fight over the scraps. It will be the mid south, south, and the Carolinas fighting over a storm that may or may not even happen. Gonna get ugly in here quick. But that’s part of the fun tbh
 
Mitch West said:
I’d disagree. It’s been cold. It just didn’t snow. Same crap I’ve been hearing on social
Media post. It hit 15° at my house in December
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I think the week of sixties and seventies during Christmas was the "thaw" and we are just continuing with it. It's not transient but a long-term pattern. This is the playbook going forward. I've seen it many, many times in my life. It is absolutely going to sustain through the coldest month of the year. I bet summer will probably be below normal. We are absolutely heading in to a uni-climate, where the seasonality starts to disappear in the sub-tropics and average lows continue to increase in all seasons and average highs in the warm months keep decreasing.
 
Bigedd09 said:
Just wow. Mid January. How many times has it been 70s in January?
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Just like I don't take extreme cold at 318 seriously, I don't take extreme warmth at that range either. But what's Really annoying is even looks that gives you a tiny but of hope. I can't remember a longer stretch where we can't even get fantasy digital snow or ice. Its just been boring as hell.
 
Makeitsnow said:
Just like I don't take extreme cold at 318 seriously, I don't take extreme warmth at that range either. But what's Really annoying is even looks that gives you a tiny but of hope. I can't remember a longer stretch where we can't even get fantasy digital snow or ice. Its just been boring as hell.
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Yeah I mean I would’ve posted it on this thread if it showed 0 degrees too. I just don’t remember widespread 70s across the southeast show for multiple days in be middle of January. It’s rough lol


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weatherfide said:
I think the week of sixties and seventies during Christmas was the "thaw" and we are just continuing with it. It's not transient but a long-term pattern. This is the playbook going forward. I've seen it many, many times in my life. It is absolutely going to sustain through the coldest month of the year. I bet summer will probably be below normal. We are absolutely heading in to a uni-climate, where the seasonality starts to disappear in the sub-tropics and average lows continue to increase in all seasons and average highs in the warm months keep decreasing.
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I don’t like it anymore than you do.
 
The biggest story is still the lack of precip. Saturday's event is drying up and not much falls after that east of the mountains through at least day 10 if not longer. The drought monitor is getting ugly now and it will continue to do so. The spring and summer will get very ugly if this continues that long.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
There will be an event at some point and everyone on the forum will have to fight over the scraps. It will be the mid south, south, and the Carolinas fighting over a storm that may or may not even happen. Gonna get ugly in here quick. But that’s part of the fun tbh
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Probably not. This will be like 2023 and 2024 when we really had nothing to track. Most of this board has already had the only winter precip they will see this winter.
 
It isn't anything special from a web dev perspective, but I threw together a quick page for y'all to view WeatherNext 2.0 forecasts. I try to push new runs once per day, and it's typically the 06z run. If we start tracking some worthwhile inside of 240h, I'll push a couple runs per day.

I'll see about adding a North America 500mb geopotential height anomaly plot in the near future. I know these ensemble mean estimated ptype plots with z500 and MSLP over the CONUS leave a little something to be desired.

Anyways, holler at me on Twitter @EFisherWX if there are any serious issues. Expect the maps to load slowly - I haven't had the time to optimize anything or even perfect the mobile webpage layout. As far as I can tell, this isn't a violation of Google's terms of use, so feel free to use/share non-commercially.

https://efisher828.github.io/weathernext/
 
The gfs doesn’t have anyone south of Virginia getting below freezing with the exception of far mother north Carolina for one morning on the 5th from until the end of the run. And no cold in sight at the end of the run. Hopefully not either but man that would be a tough way to start the heart of winter


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EFisherWX said:
It isn't anything special from a web dev perspective, but I threw together a quick page for y'all to view WeatherNext 2.0 forecasts. I try to push new runs once per day, and it's typically the 06z run. If we start tracking some worthwhile inside of 240h, I'll push a couple runs per day.

I'll see about adding a North America 500mb geopotential height anomaly plot in the near future. I know these ensemble mean estimated ptype plots with z500 and MSLP over the CONUS leave a little something to be desired.

Anyways, holler at me on Twitter @EFisherWX if there are any serious issues. Expect the maps to load slowly - I haven't had the time to optimize anything or even perfect the mobile webpage layout. As far as I can tell, this isn't a violation of Google's terms of use, so feel free to use/share non-commercially.

https://efisher828.github.io/weathernext/
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You the man!
 
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