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Pattern December Doldrums 2025 šŸŽ„ ā„ļø

1.08" of a nice soaking rain!

Here's how I take the upcoming pattern. First, it's NEVER cold/frigid for the entire winter. We live in the SE and there are ALWAYS periods of warmth, thaws. When I see Alaska going into the deep freeze, even for them, I start to wonder when the dam is going to burst and send it to the US. We shall see, but I'm not concerned in the least with a warm spell, even though it's over Christmas.
 
Stick a fork in it
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NCSNOW said:
Modelologist / flavor of the day.
Meteorology knows it's anybody's guess, once you start getting out past 5-10 days with the exception of discerning Background state ( La nina/ el nino etc ).
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Yep these people are gonna look like they always do, clueless when it flips and they are all screaming about the cold coming. Itā€™s all a guess in the end. More likely than not it will flip. And if it donā€™t then I guess we have more data to add to the books for future guessing.
 
Brent said:
Ugh I tried to warn people when they cheered for early cold that we waste it a lot of years

That's a big difference from 2021 I see it was very warm... First freeze was 2 weeks later than this year. It's a lot drier this year too
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Yes, there was a huge difference in the first half of Dec 2021 vs 2025. However, I thoroughly enjoyed the first half of this month and loved the cold. I appreciate cold whenever we can get it. I and most here hated the warmth of the first half of Dec of 2021. And Iā€™m enjoying the next couple of cool days, too.
 
BIG FROSTY said:



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Geez, these guys are basically model watchers like us. They flip and flop like a fish based on the models. More power to them I guess.

Long range looks warm, but what are you going to do? I'm going to start going outside more I guess. Hopefully 2nd week of January things mix up and the pig ridge goes poleward. And if it does, and the +PNA goes positive, @GaWx will be a legend.
 
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Its the only weather we got...so...dang +40F temp departures in the heart of the conus into Xmas day. And I imagine sometime in mid-January we see insane cold in these spots. Santa going to be sweating...

Overnight lows approaching 70F...šŸ˜²

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Usually with abnormal warmth in the winter, it comes with storms and copious amounts of rain. However, this warmth is riding in on west and west north-west winds aloft which will keep us dry, dry, dry. We need to start getting precipitation during these winter months. My next chance of meaningful rain is maybe on 12/31. Not good for GA. This is perhaps the worst possible placement of a western trough we could imagine.
 
SnowNiner said:
Geez, these guys are basically model watchers like us. They flip and flop like a fish based on the models. More power to them I guess.

Long range looks warm, but what are you going to do? I'm going to start going outside more I guess. Hopefully 2nd week of January things mix up and the pig ridge goes poleward. And if it does, and the +PNA goes positive, @GaWx will be a legend.
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What's so bad is they charge you to flip flop.
 
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