I’m just worried once it flips it won’t flip back
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Pattern December Doldrums 2025 🎄 ❄️
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Seems like the CAMs are winning this one. Most of Atlanta stuck under thick clouds and fog. Temperatures around 40. Huge bust on temps possible compared to the high of 54 forecasted 12 hours ago
lexxnchloe
Member
Almost
Makeitsnow
Member
Two days in a row ffc has busted on temps. Busted by 5 yesterday here...double that today. Currently 39 here..seems unlikely we do much better than a degree or 2.
It’s amazing a national weather service performs this way.
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GiantBear
Member
Hi everyone - joined here recently and I’m happy to be in the conversation. From my perspective here in northern GA, good to see it’s cold and I’m not to worried about a pattern flip towards late month. It should come back to us and maybe in a way conducive to Gulf lows / Miller A
This may have already been posted, I apologize if it has. Just wondering your thoughts? Especially since BamWx is big on much below normal in January.
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Welcome to SouthernWx from a fellow Georgian!
Probably just classic Euro climo
I’d bet my last dollar that this guys right.
NEGaweather
Member
. Warmth coming. Already tired of tracking Virginia snow events. 
Thanks, Frosty, for posting that from Ben. The Euro Weeklies have been forecasting mainly mild in the SE for early to mid Jan. So, that possibility is in guidance and thus should be respected imho. However, the EPS has recently been too SERy. Also, the current 3 times normal Midwest snowcover could have a say if it were to largely persist. Finally, the last 11 times there was a -PNA Dec during -ENSO like the current Dec flipped to +PNA. Six of these 11 had a cold Jan. So, there are good reasons to think Jan likely will not be mild. Now Feb otoh is a different story to me as this same indicator suggests it likely flips to mild in Feb.
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Thanks Larry, good stuff!
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GiantBear
Member
The warmup may indeed be coming but with how early in the season it is, it should flip back. Even if 60s around Christmas isn’t appealing. I think many of us in northern GA have been accustomed to blowtorch February’s but there’s still a lot of time until then. Not that I see many people dooming, but it’s still too early for that
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Score one for the CAMs today. Fog let go by lunchtime but haven’t seen a ray of sun once today. 41 at the moment. Hate to waste another snowy sky around here, but I have been enjoying this stretch of chilly wx locally. Lots of chimneys around the neighborhood smoking as I take a lap
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Maybe in February.....
wow
Member
Forecast high of 52.. it'll be 42. Had about an hr of sun between fog and cloud cover.
Makeitsnow
Member
They are the Atlanta falcons of the nws sometimes
Peaked out at 41 for a high...an 11 degree bust.
Makeitsnow
Member
Ill be honest we need some kind of reset...having the trough centered so far east isn't doing most of us any good
C-Money
Member
It's only December 7.
To be fair we go through this every year. It’s only (fill in the blank) until finally it’s too late once again. It’s a dreadful cycle. And also if we are being real most of us aren’t seeing any snow in December. Which leaves like 2-3 weeks if we’re lucky in January.
C-Money
Member
Then why even bother with being here during winter?
I keep wondering myself honestly.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I would selfishly love to see a mild Christmas so I can hit the links 
️, however the base state isn’t conducive to big warm ups for now.
Despite that, I can see how that sort of scenario comes to fruition however with the big negative torque over Asia after mid month. Not a slam dunk S2S fcst
️, however the base state isn’t conducive to big warm ups for now. Despite that, I can see how that sort of scenario comes to fruition however with the big negative torque over Asia after mid month. Not a slam dunk S2S fcst
Be a big kick in the Jimmy to stay cold through December until Christmas week and then soar into the 60s.I would selfishly love to see a mild Christmas so I can hit the links
Despite that, I can see how that sort of scenario comes to fruition however with the big negative torque over Asia after mid month. Not a slam dunk S2S fcst
Where did the Barney cold go from yesterday's runs?
This trough for next weekend is being an idiot.
Nothing on ensembles but enjoy this frame
Wow Moyock is really cashing in this year
Still counts bro. Lol
ducketta27
Member
I’m counting on a win next weekend… keep it cold and give me some snow in NC/TN!
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dsaur
Member
Hey, Larry can you please calibrate the abacus to the cme arriving Tuesday, and the huge big monster sunspot aimed right at earth. When the big one goes off, I need to understand it's possible effect upon snow up to my gutters. And is the Tuesday event a precursor to the monster going off. I need snow to my gutters soonest, and it will be cold enough in a few days to make that happen. I realize no matter how big a solar storm is it's not like a triple phased gom low, but since both are extremely rare they must at least be cousins. And...since we are apt to lose the inner webs, I hope you can do your sleuthing before we lose communication. Thanks, your friend Tony
Red map enthusiasts in shambles 
Its a little early got him to be talking about one of the coldest Decembers, lets get to the 20th and see where we stand.
Twister
Member
So get ready for Torch in Jan, And it likely starts Christmas week
I don’t see how we avoid torching most of January after having an entire month of cold almost. Regardless of all the factors into it, just seems like a “what goes up must come down” type scenario. Hope it proves us wrong.