12z Euro cold run also, we just need that trough to dig more. Nice to see the pretty blues backing up though. The more this happens, the more we increase the chances of this not just being cold & dry & squeeze out something out of this.
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Pattern December Doldrums 2025 🎄 ❄️
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
tomorrow will be an elite morning to catch a sunrise along the southern blue ridge escarpment. crystal clear skies with fog across the piedmont banked against the escarpment. not to mention, more than one CAM is keeping this fog/stratus around for so long that high temperatures fall well shy of current forecasts across the upstate and southwestern nc foothills
The high temperature forecast at RDU today is going to be a bust unless some sun breaks through. The high temperature will struggle to reach the lower forties and the mid forties that were forecast look to be out of reach.
The EPO block needs to reorient N/S instead of circular or E/W like it has been. That will allow for a better opportunity to connect with the west coast ridge and spike the entire ridge axis.
THEN, the cold hammer drops, and depending on where the ridge axis sets up, we could potentially be looking at a BIG, very cold winter storm for many.
Someone with far more skills than this old geezer should do a deep dive when all this is over, on why all of the ensembles have repeatedly had to correct the Eastern US troughing time and time again in this pattern. I don't recall this much long-wave variance at the 7-10 day lead times, ever.
Makeitsnow
Member
Ffc had a lot of us getting to 50 but everyone is stuck at 45 or 46 and satellites shows plenty of cloud cover so bust here is likely too.
Avalanche
Member
Happy for the rain we got at the coast. Now looking forward to the next
The way they do a neutral color like green to represent a -9 departure from normal is intentional. Bothers me