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Wintry Winter 25-26 Winter Battle Zone

Tarheel1 said:
NOAA official winter outlook! View attachment 175532
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For the temp map; that exactly matches what we've experienced since 2019 with the lone exception of last January. Any cold is west of the Apps. It is apparently just the new normal. Last Jan was our chance for a good snow east of the mountains but we couldn't get the precip to line up and the coast cashed in instead.
 
I like what the 0z CFS is showing:

Snow depth on Halloween (last day of October). We have that theory about rapid snow buildup in October leads to a cold winter:

1760701785460.png
Then the coverage at day 30:
1760701852597.png
At this point, the southeast has gone through a 30-day period of mostly tranquil weather (east coast ridging). If we can now (at day 30) start flipping the pattern, we can hopefully funnel some of that cold air that has built over the Siberia. The end of November and especially the first week of December is "go time" for the (highest) possibility of winter weather.
 
SD said:
I know where the center of the BN precip would be
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Jonesville!?
Y’all will see average or below precip this year! But to start the winter fun and games, I’ll hit you with one of my favorite winter quotes: “ it only takes one”
IMG_2744.jpeg
 
Webberweather53 said:
I'd definitely say 2021-22 is probably the most recent good analog to this winter w/ a warm Indo-Pacific Warm Pool, -QBO, and being in the 2nd year of a La Niña. What a roller coaster ride that was. Torch December, snowy January and mild February.
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I did ok in my area that winter. Torch December and then it got more interesting through mid March here. Stronger east based niña I believe then
 
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