things tracks over sav and into southern ga absolutely hammering rain\
worst case scenario irt rainfall
worst case scenario irt rainfall
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Tropical 94L - PTC to be issued later today
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
still raining after this map:
Good Neptune! Highest is 25.5 inches per the Euro
the rainfall in the se doesn't actually go away until hour 210+
dang, it just rots. so the gfs isn't crazy
dang, it just rots. so the gfs isn't crazy
mx3gsr92
Member
I feel like EVERY time we have a tropical system threatening the east coast, things trend north and east as the event draws closer. Of course, the steering for this particular system has many variables.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
I hope you’re right. WNC can not handle anything close to what is being shown right now.
NoSnowATL
Member
Not this time. If anything it will be more west.
Shaggy
Member
Brunswick county schools in NC have already canceled classes for Monday
mx3gsr92
Member
Why is that?
LOL, I mean. Instead of posting Florence totals and saying to shift them towards SC, I should have just waited for the Euro QPF output.
The upper low over the south is appearing strong enough to be the main driver of the steering which would pull the storm more west
lexxnchloe
Member
On the internet
A big boat
Shaggy
Member
So what's everyone's thoughts on future LLC? Western part of the disturbance or more towards Hispaniola. Just looking at it now it would seem more towards Hispaniola based on loose spin over the DR
Correct
someone posted elsewhere that chs is over 27 inches of rain on that euro run lolz
I bet its north where it just shot out the ofb/arc clouds but really at this point it could be anywhere
As far as the conditions most of us in Central North Carolina might see, Florence might be a good comparison. 94L may become a slow moving Category 1 hurricane like Florence wherever it comes ashore dumping buckets of rain along its path. Florence broke many rainfall records for NC coastal communities with around 35 inches being recorded in Elizabeth City and 25 in Wilmington. In the KRDU area, rainfall totals ranged anywhere from six to eight inches around Raleigh and up to twelve inches in some locations south of Raleigh.
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Tokenfreak
Member
I'm hearing that the NHC may start issuing PTC alerts for Invest 94 at 5pm or so. Maybe they can give us better insight as to what they think will happen.
Levi’s video is out
Humberto already a major 
waiting on PTC advisory
waiting on PTC advisory 
GeorgiaGirl
Member
I see they're forecasting the potential stall here, which man oh man, it'd be potentially nightmare-ish rain wise.
Wow that’s slow
yeah nhc likes the idea of it doing the stanky leg off the sc coast for a bit. would spell a rather rainy week for much of the SC and SENC coastlines
JHS
Member
East of I-77and south of I-20 for sure. Little to none probably for the northwest half of GA and over upstate SC. MYR, CHS, ILM, and RDU would probably see 15+ out of it.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I'm starting to think my initial position of it never making landfall may win the day. Once we start seeing widespread stalling on modeling, it's hard to go back. I've seen that over and over. Next little bit of time is going to be critical. It has to start getting its act together soon or it ain't getting in.
Edit: Yep
Edit: Yep
Ray is in the “take a deep breath” camp. Which is good to see
Yeah it getting buried near Cuba right now may end up being the difference. If the current center remains dominant it may be too slow and get yanked by Humberto. Very fine line
18z icon ots
iGRXY
Member