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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

Ops are erratic. Atmosphere is very energetic and Ops are gonna are going to key in on different pieces of energy, some of which moves in and out of data sparse regions. Look at the trends of the ensembles to see if there’s reason to worry or remain confident in a potential window of wintry weather. I’m liking our chances quite a lot.
 
packfan98 said:
18z GEFS mean looked really active, especially for NC and the typical CAD areas. Here's the best snow depth map:
snod.conus.png
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Only problem I see is that things seem to be getting pushed back on the gefs . However WPC says the gefs splits from the EPS and GEPS after day 5
 
Shawn said:
You know, I just tried to pull up the old thread and it seems to be gone for good from the old boards. I remember a cutter or something at some point early on, then a big TN/NC hit, and it slowly moved South and GFS had it to Cuba at one point. I remember, the SE forum was dominated by NC posters, so it wasn't very popular to see successive runs of CAE getting a big hit after the initial runs of them getting it.

I remember talking with Brooks Garner (WISTV met) about it and what he was going to do on air etc. He sent me some stuff. It was modeled 5 days in advance, for a change. for what happened here. Stormsfury's back yard had way too much snow modeled though by the Canadian.
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Yeah, a couple of people labeled that one my storm because that one I saw well out in advance and stuck with it. I picked up 6" of snow in the Feb 2010 with KCHS picking up 3.4"...most of that falling in just a 5 hour window. The CMC for the overall idea of the storm was good, the EURO locked into a perfect track thru Central FL, and the GFS sent the low to CUBA 5 days out only to gradually correct closer and closer to the event..once it got within 48 to 72 hours it did well. All the guidance however, underplayed the low's strength (low wound up a little more than expected)
 
1300m said:
December 2010 RDU had 4 straight and 5 out of 6, but the longest I can find is January 1977 - from 1/12/77 to 1/24/77 RDU was below freezing! They did record snow during that period but not until the final day of the cold snap, when they measured 1.8". I haven't looked back comprehensively, but I believe that is likely the record.
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That 77 cold was impressive. I thought that maybe Jan 2000 or Feb 15 would have been close


I'm shooting from memory alone here but isn't the positive height anomaly north of Alaska one of the signals for an rdu snow. I feel like I read that somewhere

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pcbjr said:
was one hell of a winter in South Bend, Indiana ... cold and snow to my eaves on one side of the house ...
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Let me tell you about March 1960....
 
1300m said:
December 2010 RDU had 4 straight and 5 out of 6, but the longest I can find is January 1977 - from 1/12/77 to 1/24/77 RDU was below freezing! They did record snow during that period but not until the final day of the cold snap, when they measured 1.8". I haven't looked back comprehensively, but I believe that is likely the record.
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February 1895 is right there with Raleigh staying below 36F 12 days in a row and it snowed 3 separate times, the last storm in mid February was the same one that dropped 30 inches of snow in Port Arthur, TX, nearly 2 feet in Houston, & 6 inches even fell down in Brownsville!! This month was so cold that the Neuse and Cape Fear rivers completely froze over lol
IMG_0526.PNG
 
Webberweather53 said:
February 1895 is right there with Raleigh staying below 36F 12 days in a row and it snowed 3 separate times, the last storm in mid February was the same one that dropped 30 inches of snow in Port Arthur, TX, nearly 2 feet in Houston, & 6 inches even fell down in Brownsville!! This month was so cold that the Neuse and Cape Fear rivers completely froze over lol
View attachment 2172
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they just dont make winters like that anymore these days.... lol
 
Well as for me in ATL area I have to say thet winter of 76/77 was "worst" for prolonged cold, but not much precip to go with it...
 
Just wondering the storm that suppose to be coming around the 29 and 30th is it a possibility that this thing can be a southern slider or it's looking more like a miller b type storm
 
deltadog03 said:
So what did I miss?
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Well 00z Euro from last night gave us an icy/snowy mess around our areas. 12z Euro sent it more North. GEFS is all over the place, but still a storm possible. WPC threw the Canadian and GFS out until after Monday.

Nothing, really has changed.. lol
 
If my memory is correct, some schools were closed also due to low temps and/or low natural gas pressure or broken water pipes.. (I was in college by then) but kids losing "spering break days due to cold with no snow to play in...URGH
 
gawxnative said:
If my memory is correct, some schools were closed also due to low temps and/or low natural gas pressure or broken water pipes.. (I was in college by then) but kids losing "spering break days due to cold with no snow to play in...URGH
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I was in school at that time and we were sent home for a week because there wasnt sufficient heat - it was 53 degrees in the classroom at the warmest. Sure did take a big old bite out of spring holidays


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