• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

gfs_z500_vort_us_32.png

This is just mesmerizing
 
This HP made a run at 1070, what the Canadian had a couple days ago. I think it capped around 1066-1067 this run.
 
GFS done this before with super suppression on systems moving out of Gulf but seen that not exactly play out
 
malak05 said:
GFS done this before with super suppression on systems moving out of Gulf but seen that not exactly play out
Click to expand...

A 1060-1070MB high would not let a system trend towards us. Likely, over done.. but I have to pay attention now because of the Canadian showing something along the lines before.
 
I think even the Euro has had crazy highs. It looks like we're about to have a cold snap event similar to January 2014.
 
Just another friendly reminder of the GFS's cold bias near day 7... Don't let your own personal cold/snowy biases get in the way of objectivity, take it w/ a mine of salt. Odds are this 18z run is probably overdone
ANOM2m_bias_past30_ntham.png
 
Only hope for precip is when the initial front moves in and is pressing up against the SE ridge with a SW . Other than that is squash city . I’d be happy with cold and dry . Beats a warm christmas
 
I realize that this is likely overdone but...it's not just the GFS that is throwing around wacky high pressures like this. I guess we need to throw out every model that is showing it.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Just another friendly reminder of the GFS's cold bias near day 7... Don't let your own personal cold/snowy biases get in the way of objectivity, take it w/ a mine of salt. Odds are this 18z run is probably overdone
View attachment 2121
Click to expand...

It's still very cold with the bias. Still well below freezing... if I am reading the chart right.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top