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Tropical 2023 Tropical thread

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Northwestern Atlantic:
A non-tropical low pressure system centered over the northwestern
Atlantic Ocean about 300 miles north of Bermuda is producing
storm-force winds. Although the cyclone is producing some
thunderstorm activity near the center, it is embedded in a cold air
mass with nearby frontal boundaries. The low is expected to move
northeastward today and northward tonight, bringing the system over
much colder waters and across Atlantic Canada by early Tuesday.
Therefore, it is unlikely that the low will transition to a
subtropical or tropical cyclone. Nevertheless, the system is
expected to remain a strong non-tropical low during the next day or
so, and additional information, including storm-force wind warnings,
can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.

No additional Special Tropical Weather Outlooks are scheduled for
this system. Regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlooks will
resume on May 15, 2023, while Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will
be issued as necessary during the off-season.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
Click to expand...
 
Cyclone freddy remains a high end cat 4 and is forecast to strike Madagascar in 4 days as a borderline cat 3 I think. It then exits the west coast of Madagascar on the gfs and drops almost 25mb before hitting the east coast of Africa as a 972ish cane again.

The incredible thing is it formed off the NW coast of Australia and will have traversed the entire Indian ocean
 
My (BAD) Mistake..

I didn't see this thread, When I posted "Outside the Southeast" ..
My sincere Apologies.

ANYHoo..

I (also) know a person in Auckland..

Just went through, Cyclone Gabrielle..

He sends this reoprt..

***** I live in the Hawkes Bay region of New Zealand. On Monday night and Tuesday morning, we got hammered. Cannot send much in the way of links as we have no power and cell coverage is at best intermittent. Thankfully the website does low bandwidth very well. Much appreciated for his efficient website. Many will time out, (blink) load nicely.

Some damage is via wind, and a lot was via flooding. It certainly didn't help that this has already been the wettest summer I've ever seen.

My lower paddock is normally grass with a bunch of trees. With the flooded farmer's paddock upwind along with my new lake, and add 100-120kph wind, I got to see waves on my property. Never thought I'd see that!

Went into town Tuesday afternoon to get some needed supplies, had to reroute as there was a tree across the road, along with several power lines on the road. Reroute took me through a neighborhood that had quite a few homes in a couple feet of water. And that isn't the hard hit area.

Fortunately the hardware store used a generator to power the cash registers so I could buy what I needed.

Sadly we lost several redwoods on our property, and many poplars will have to come down due to a serious case of the "leans". That is okay, those are weed trees. Going to have firewood for at least the next decade, all I have to do is cut into rounds and split...

Wish I had a generator, sigh. One of those things that was on our list but hadn't gotten around to it. Lesson cleaned. ****

..



SORRY OT:....

Freddy:

2 weeks after Tropical Cyclone Cheneso kills 30 in Madagascar, the country braces for Cyclone Freddy​

Cyclone Freddy is expected to cause flooding on Sunday, Monday​


www.foxnews.com

2 weeks after Tropical Cyclone Cheneso kills 30 in Madagascar, the country braces for Cyclone Freddy

Madagascar is bracing for Cyclone Freddy which has been described as an "intense tropical cyclone." Two weeks ago, 30 Madagascar residents died in Cyclone Cheneso.
www.foxnews.com www.foxnews.com
 
so the story of cyclone Freddy never really ended. After hitting Madagascar last week he stalled on the east coast of Africa. He now has reemerged and the GFS takes him down to 970mb before hitting the west coast of Madagascar as a cat 2
 
Being the weather nerd I am I am still following Freddy and he is forecast to be a 95kt cane at landfall 3. or 4. days. Then the gfs stallshim again turns him south and again redevelops him as he then races southeast clipping the SW coast of Madagascar as a mid 980s hurricane again. What a crazy storm to follow
 
Shaggy said:
Being the weather nerd I am I am still following Freddy and he is forecast to be a 95kt cane at landfall 3. or 4. days. Then the gfs stallshim again turns him south and again redevelops him as he then races southeast clipping the SW coast of Madagascar as a mid 980s hurricane again. What a crazy storm to follow
Click to expand...

Like Freddy Krueger lol.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Well the La Nina is dead so there's that. We will see how fast El Nino builds in but a neutral season could still be plenty interesting if it doesnt. Obviously very early right now but just to see the La Nina gone is news since it's been around the last 3 seasons
 
Freddy is finally making his final landfall......hopefully. This system has been around since off the NW coast of Australia
 

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Hopefully this stretch of coast in Australia is very desolate. They got a monster brewing if the JWTC is correct.
 

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NCSNOW said:
Aint no way this story can be correct. Heading into big El Nino? Am I missing something here

www.nextgov.com

Forecasters: 2023 Will Be a 'Very Active' Hurricane Season

Forecasters expect a hurricane season similar to 2017, one of the worst and most costly on record.
www.nextgov.com www.nextgov.com
Click to expand...
Yeah I wouldn’t expect things to be very active this year with an El Niño starting. Just looking at past years going into El Niño, it would appear that 8-10 named storms should be expected
 
NCSNOW said:
Aint no way this story can be correct. Heading into big El Nino? Am I missing something here

www.nextgov.com

Forecasters: 2023 Will Be a 'Very Active' Hurricane Season

Forecasters expect a hurricane season similar to 2017, one of the worst and most costly on record.
www.nextgov.com www.nextgov.com
Click to expand...
The systems would have to be early in the season and homegrown and not off Africa. If anything it's going to a front loaded season. I think average to below average season.
 
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