• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Severe New Years Severe Weather Event

This isn't looking good for communities ahead of it. It's really starting to pick up speed in it's rotation. I may have been wrong about the TDS earlier. But it looks like this thing could produce any second. BWER on it and a very nice hook forming.
 
Zander98al said:
This isn't looking good for communities ahead of it. It's really starting to pick up speed in it's rotation. I may have been wrong about the TDS earlier. But it looks like this thing could produce any second. BWER on it and a very nice hook forming.
Click to expand...
Yeah, CC is noisy and not a well defined drop
 
The tornado threat looks like a big IF now ?. Lot of limiting factors.
Myfrotho704_ said:
Idk. While I think there will be a some tornados and maybe even a strong one, I have a feeling this event will be capped off by poor mid level lapse rates, unless mini supercells take advantage of the environment and low level instability
Click to expand...
Models don't look as bad as they were thankfully
 
HRRR continues to show very deep convection ahead of the line near peak heating in central and west Alabama. Something to keep a eye on. Screenshot_20220101-073339.png
 
Zander98al said:
I'm afraid the HRRR will be correct on supercell development. It was spot on, on storm evolution from Thursday. If the HRRR is correct these will have potential for producing some bad tornadoes
Click to expand...
12z HRRR still showing the development ahead of the main line
 
Thing to note. Models have underdone moisture by a lot so far today. Cape is almost pushing 1500 for a good chunk of central Alabama already. And has 1000 for the whole northern part of the state. Way ahead of schedule and not forecasted
 
Zander98al said:
Thing to note. Models have underdone moisture by a lot so far today. Cape is almost pushing 1500 for a good chunk of central Alabama already. And has 1000 for the whole northern part of the state. Way ahead of schedule and not forecasted
Click to expand...
3km Ehi is already around 3-4 range in west Alabama. Not good at all.
 
Bro. My power has gone out twice from strong wind gusts. That southerly wind is pretty strong
 
Really considering driving out to the old radio station in Homewood and getting a good view at supercells moving through the northwest side of Birmingham. But not enough confidence in there actually being any for me to drive out that way
 
SIG tornado forecasts have been rising each run it seems for north Alabama. And I'm afraid it's underdone. Do to the bias of less moisture from models. Very sticky situation later. Literally.
 
Zander98al said:
Really considering driving out to the old radio station in Homewood and getting a good view at supercells moving through the northwest side of Birmingham. But not enough confidence in there actually being any for me to drive out that way
Click to expand...
You need to buy a drone. Fly it up about 400 ft for a outstanding view.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top