There's a good chance the models could be on to something, and the west shift continues, a stronger ridge building in? But remember a few days out (4-6) they showed a MA hit, and kept trending S and W each suite of model runs?He was the 06z GEFS very threatening to the MA and northeast us
Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Very close to the NE indeed.... I'd feel better if I were in the bulls-eye right now honestly.He was the 06z GEFS very threatening to the MA and northeast us
Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Have to see that and Jose's future, maybe even Lee's.Looks like slight shift west with last nights EPS also, not suggesting anything I know way too early and will be interesting what Maria is like, where she is exactly and how models adjust after she emerges from PR
Yeah funny we thought Lee was done for and Jose was the tenacious one now it's starting to look like Lee is the tenacious one that may throw a wrench in the future track and Jose may be finally about to wind down (finally in the sense he's been there forever not that I want him too y'all know what I mean)
Looks like it's gonna come off west of the forecast track so we will see what the models do with itLooks like slight shift west with last nights EPS also, not suggesting anything I know way too early and will be interesting what Maria is like, where she is exactly and how models adjust after she emerges from PR
Run it across the norther coast of the shredder, weaken it some more then head it due west to the GOM, turn it north and dump it in your backyard....
some levity in the face of a dire situation.
Very possibleRun it across the norther coast of the shredder, weaken it some more then head it due west to the GOM, turn it north and dump it in your backyard....
Haha no thanks , playing in two golf tournaments next week with work . No time for rainRun it across the norther coast of the shredder, weaken it some more then head it due west to the GOM, turn it north and dump it in your backyard....
Well, thanks.
Only if Jose weaken faster and ridge builds In faster? How about South Carolina?
Taking the long way across the island bad and good
Could that create more of an Impact in the Carolinas if ridge keeps buildings on upcoming runs?
its leaving the door open for a NNW to N track of Maria then a left hook into the Carolinas or mid atlantic.
Looks like it has to go NW/ NNW from there!?That's 6Z.
Here is 12Z. Slowed here and may be getting pulled in.
Moves NW at 162. Coming in for a hit or close approach.
Same thing could happen on the CMC as the GFS is having. Huge upper level disturbance over the SE and Gulf.
I have seen that the GFS wants to develop something, but the ensembles you show are only making the case stronger. If we get something that moves into that area and has no wind shear, we could be in trouble again. We have yet to have a storm there and the environment is hotter that Irma and Maria's were. Can we throw an iceberg or two into the ocean there so we can't have this threat? LOL
