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Severe Severe weather threat (2/15 - 2/17)

Now we’re talkin.
GFS looks like no dice
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Euro is off 5-7 degrees on noon temps. Too warm. Not sure why the mets keep buying it if it starts that much off, it's not going to get it right.
 
I gotta say, that’s a legit look for severe weather, it honestly depends on that SE Canada vortex and how far south it is, the farther south, the less widespread it’ll be and more confined to SC/GA/AL as that SE Canada vortex pumps in coo stable air possibly 407A5D7F-6A8F-4843-B308-D958EC3C91C5.png1B5EB860-76BC-456B-ACF3-A694FFAC9AA3.png114A6A73-05B1-441E-9558-50CF64B93A50.png546819C9-C576-400D-B285-BD45131B3A70.png18E643FC-F025-481E-9E24-1FAA89835ADD.png
 
ICON lifting the warm front further north slowly and slowly each run for that second system D79D88D5-08D3-49C5-AADA-5E9F19D97F60.png
 
GFS doesn’t show much cape but imo if this was to stick around into NAM time it would probably be HSLC low topped stuff, that’s a impressive look at H5 68771E98-2713-4D5E-9ED6-DFEA01318216.png187B418B-C849-4185-A96D-FC2773B01AFF.png4A194BA2-3CC1-4E01-9DB2-9CAA454A80F5.png
 
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