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Pattern August Rush 2020

Looks and sounds like one heck of a storm is coming my way. Lots of thunder and lightning nearby.
 
Looks like the bulk of the really good stuff is going to miss me, though.
Screenshot_20200814-213936_The Weather Channel.jpg
 
Came in a couple of degrees cooler than 18z.. I think upper 60s are a lock, but mid 60s will be pushing it at the CHA airport, where temps always seem to run a few degrees warmer than everywhere else in the city: 1597465361166.png
 
cd2play said:
When a thunderstorm merely 8 miles away leaves you with stratiform gunk.... ?
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That's about what happened to me earlier this evening. There was a nearby thunderstorm that was pretty loud and by the time it got over me, it was just rain.
 
SETNwx said:
Came in a couple of degrees cooler than 18z.. I think upper 60s are a lock, but mid 60s will be pushing it at the CHA airport, where temps always seem to run a few degrees warmer than everywhere else in the city: View attachment 46473
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This is a good start to knock down the humidity. Bring it!!
 
Meso discussion out for western NC. Moderate risk NC/VA border.
 
I’m not too certain on today, too much OBX storms plus leftover light rain currently. Need the sun to come out which I don’t see happening. 50/50 we flood or don’t.
 
I don’t see 3-4” happening today per flash flood watch. Too much activity just east of the OBX is robbing plus too foggy and clouds with drizzle no storms
 
If anywhere maybe north Georgia to Watauga NC..on top of blue ridge and west could squeeze out some flash flooding with little sunshine boost?
 
2.31" last night. Should have bought the snorkel.
IMG_20200814_192400.jpg

But I won't, bc I'm sure this is the last rain I'll see till Thanksgiving.. (;);))
 
Well I drove to work this morning and got 2 miles from home and it rained from there to work. Me? Not a drop. I've managed to go all week with 60% plus rain chances and hadn't got a drop. Average at GSP is 13.5 for JJA. Everyone on here appears to be at that or above so far. I'm at a measley 8.6 inches. Congrats to everyone on your wet summer. I'm out. See y'all in the winter thread or maybe a tropical thread if I can even manage rain from a tropical system.
 
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As can tell now, storms are west of blue ridge with heavy rates slow movers.should stay that way today
 
BHS1975 said:
Whatch you talkin bout Willis.


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There's just a bunch of crap out there this morning. Sfc convergence along the nc/va border, mcv north of CLT moving north, maybe a weak mcv in Eastern nc, numerous outflows, extensive stratus deck, trough axis still to the west, CU bubbling to the south where they have gotten into some sun, almost a closed 850mb feature to the west, potential weak sfc low/loose mcs developing later. It all points to some corridor of the state getting a lot of rain today but where?
 
SD said:
There's just a bunch of crap out there this morning. Sfc convergence along the nc/va border, mcv north of CLT moving north, maybe a weak mcv in Eastern nc, numerous outflows, extensive stratus deck, trough axis still to the west, CU bubbling to the south where they have gotten into some sun, almost a closed 850mb feature to the west, potential weak sfc low/loose mcs developing later. It all points to some corridor of the state getting a lot of rain today but where?
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Yeah the HRRR is struggling keeps changing every run.


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BHS1975 said:
Yeah the HRRR is struggling keeps changing every run.


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Yeah it's not clear cut at all. I could see RAH maybe extending the FFW south a layer of counties. My guess is initiation along the sfc convergence between 40 and the Va border that sends an OFB south, as the mountain storms and upper trough move east it interacts with the ofb and the axis of big totals is along and south of 40.
 
GSP averages 30.14" of rain through 8/14, I'm just over 20 miles east of them with 44.51"
Certainly an above average year so far here. We've already beaten the entirety of 2016 (34.43")
 
SD said:
There's just a bunch of crap out there this morning. Sfc convergence along the nc/va border, mcv north of CLT moving north, maybe a weak mcv in Eastern nc, numerous outflows, extensive stratus deck, trough axis still to the west, CU bubbling to the south where they have gotten into some sun, almost a closed 850mb feature to the west, potential weak sfc low/loose mcs developing later. It all points to some corridor of the state getting a lot of rain today but where?
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Getting lucky here, getting some breaks in the clouds and some sun
 
I use to have an account I was pretending I was from there before
 
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