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Coronavirus (Stay on Topic)

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Nearly 2,000 dead today in the US from
Coronavirus. Mother of god how awful this is. It’s like watching a slow motion train wreck at this point.
 
This horrid disease just got even more real for me. I found out today a good friend who has been sick for 11 days tested positive for Covid and was placed in the hospital yesterday. He is 55 yrs old and the epitome of health. Never smoked or drank alcohol.. exercised regularly and very slim and athletic. Has developed pneumonia and is on oxygen. Started him on hydroxychloroquine early this morning
 
ghost1 said:
This horrid disease just got even more real for me. I found out today a good friend who has been sick for 11 days tested positive for Covid and was placed in the hospital yesterday. He is 55 yrs old and the epitome of health. Never smoked or drank alcohol.. exercised regularly and very slim and athletic. Has developed pneumonia and is on oxygen. Started him on hydroxychloroquine early this morning
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I hope your friend gets better.
 
ghost1 said:
This horrid disease just got even more real for me. I found out today a good friend who has been sick for 11 days tested positive for Covid and was placed in the hospital yesterday. He is 55 yrs old and the epitome of health. Never smoked or drank alcohol.. exercised regularly and very slim and athletic. Has developed pneumonia and is on oxygen. Started him on hydroxychloroquine early this morning
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Keep us updated, really hope the hcq will help him turn around and fully recover quickly.
 
Latest model forecast out of univ of washington has total USA death under 60,000 now. Far cry from the 2.2 million figures being advertised just a few weeks ago.Corono fades out in May and by June 1st has USA at 0.
 
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NCSNOW said:
Latest model forecast out of univ of washington has total USA death under 60,000 now. Far cry from the 2.2 million figures being advertised just a few weeks ago.Corono fades out in May and by June 1st has USA at 0.
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Great news, hopefully it’s correct
 
NCSNOW said:
Latest model forecast out of univ of washington has total USA death under 60,000 now. Far cry from the 2.2 million figures being advertised just a few weeks ago.Corono fades out in May and by June 1st has USA at 0.
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a few things.

2.2 million was the maximum if we did nothing. No social distancing.

range currently on that model is 30,000 - 125,000

it doesn’t make sense we would drop to zero deaths per day in June. The virus isn’t just going to vanish. We will be dealing with coronavirus for the rest of our lives.
 
LithiaWx said:
a few things.

2.2 million was the maximum if we did nothing. No social distancing.

range currently on that model is 30,000 - 125,000

it doesn’t make sense we would drop to zero deaths per day in June. The virus isn’t just going to vanish. We will be dealing with coronavirus for the rest of our lives.
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I have serious doubts that there would be 2.2 million deaths even if we did nothing.
 
Encouraging news from the UW model. I just hope it's not overfitting the curve. Down to 60k deaths now.
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
I have serious doubts that there would be 2.2 million deaths even if we did nothing.
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The reason the "do nothing" number is so high is because that relies on hospitals becoming overwhelmed and people dying trying to get medical assistance, as well as the virus exploding in numbers faster than we are seeing.
Dewpoint Dan said:
Great news. Looks like we are almost at the peak. View attachment 38652
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We will just have to see as with any model. Hopefully we start seeing a decline, but until I see a proper decline I would be cautious. Remember, we're dealing with the GFS of virus modeling.
 
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