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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Not bad at all. I broke par for the first time last year (twice!) and I was down to a 3 handicap. I was always a mid/low 80’s guy but my game really took off the last 2 years. I have a 20 month old now so I haven’t had time to play lately.
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My goal is to shot par, I was close a few times last year, shot a 74 and Reunion last October which was the last tournament I play and haven’t played in one yet this year. Still practicing. I will start playing real in March, I’ve only played 5 rounds this year. Hoping to get my Hand down to the single digits this year. I also switched to the Taylormade (a) and love it.


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It’s much easier to get a strong Bermuda high locked in before a winter storm than a strong high near the Lakes or northeast.
 
Storm5 said:
I thought the gfs and FV3 were locked in on the winter storms . I guess the ensembles were right .....


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Maybe this time. But they were wrong for this week. So maybe they all suck. Not sure what your point is except to be petty.
 
They refer to East Coast Storms (significant and major), which are much more relevant to the NE US than the SE US although a place like RDU can get some benefits. These are mainly referring to nor’easters off the MidAtlantic/NE, which rarely correlates to a major winter storm at a place like Charlotte, GSP, ATL, or Birm unless it starts as a Gulf Miller A.

Edit: DT same up with those terms and I think they're good mainly for the MidAtlantic north. But they're not "official" terms.
 
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Lol I saw dying congested cumulus this morning, just a precursor that Im missing all the summertime T-storms later this year
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Lol I saw dying congested cumulus this morning, just a precursor that Im missing all the summertime T-storms later this year
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CAD definitely is in effect today. It's in the 60s but there was a stiff NE breeze. Actually think it was yesterday too, marched outside without a sweatshirt on since I got warm the other day in one and it was almost a mistake.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
CAD definitely is in effect today. It's in the 60s but there was a stiff NE breeze. Actually think it was yesterday too, marched outside without a sweatshirt on since I got warm the other day in one and it was almost a mistake.
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Speaking of that NE wind, you just got me to notice there actually is a very light wind coming from the NE, probably why convective cumulus suddenly died lol
 
Can’t wait for the next weak moderate, midooki El Niño, these things rock!! Give the SE their snowiest winters ever!!
 
I tried Facepalm February, at the end of January, got deleted with the quickness, I guess optimism wins over reality!? Everybody knew first 2 weeks were toast, now looks like the whole thing will be a complete and udder dumpster fire! Until Marvelous March gets in range!
 
Tarheel1 said:
I tried Facepalm February, at the end of January, got deleted with the quickness, I guess optimism wins over reality!? Everybody knew first 2 weeks were toast, now looks like the whole thing will be a complete and udder dumpster fire! Until Marvelous March gets in range!
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The good stuff is waiting for you to finally take your cruise. Would you please go already lmao?
 
Once upon a time a young lawyer was going to court on a very big case. He had with him a large stack of venerable, brown-bound and very impressive looking law books; so large a stack he could hardly carry and balance them all. On the way to the courthouse he ran in to a seasoned older lawyer ... nice swirls of grey hair and wearing Cary Grant suit. The older lawyer, also going to try a case that day, had only a small folder with a few pages of paper. The older lawyer asked the younger where he was going. The younger lawyer told him he was going to win a lawsuit. The older lawyer asked how strong his case was. The younger lawyer said he had all the law he'd ever need to convince the judge and jury, teetering with that stack of books and grinning. The older lawyer smiled, paused, and then slowly asked the youngster, "You have any facts?"

Younger lawyer lost his case that day.

There's a weather moral in there someplace ... but here's deferring to you ... o_O
 
pcbjr said:
Once upon a time a young lawyer was going to court on a very big case. He had with him a large stack of venerable, brown-bound and very impressive looking law books; so large a stack he could hardly carry and balance them all. On the way to the courthouse he ran in to a seasoned older lawyer ... nice swirls of grey hair and wearing Cary Grant suit. The older lawyer, also going to try a case that day, had only a small folder with a few pages of paper. The older lawyer asked the younger where he was going. The younger lawyer told him he was going to win a lawsuit. The older lawyer asked how strong his case was. The younger lawyer said he had all the law he'd ever need to convince the judge and jury, teetering with that stack of books and grinning. The older lawyer smiled, paused, and then slowly asked the youngster, "You have any facts?"

Younger lawyer lost his case that day.

There's a weather moral in there someplace ... but here's deferring to you ... o_O
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Should have calling in the Strong Arm or one call that’s all.


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To be fair to JB, looking back at these winter forecasts put out in the fall, there was a lot of fail, and a lot of backloaded talk!!! Some even still giving hope into March!AC274E69-FE86-4080-8BA3-97FBDE69CEC9.png294E2626-9D7D-4903-85E7-32BC11200CC7.png9F90E1AD-3E20-4A0B-86EE-C1AAED144F51.pngC64A17F8-8C3D-49A8-8513-212257BE13E9.png726480B9-549A-43BF-AABD-326088E9F017.png
 
I've talked a fair bit about it, everybody is going to bust on their winter prediction this go around, in fact, the main thing I held hope in was perhaps having a good February again from the start. Now that's not going to happen, and I've done some lurking on the other board and there was one guy (Bob Chill?) that said that if we had based our long range forecasts off how the tropics looked, outside of one area (yeah, my memory is bad so I forgot about the area), it basically didn't look like what you'd expect from a Nino, and it would have potentially led to a different forecast.

So the one thing this semi informed poster is going to wonder about is if persistence forecasting might be the real way to go instead of taking if it's going to be a Nino or Nina and using even recent analogs to base off what the forecast will be.

Ultimately even if you do very well with forecasting in the long range: "Mother Nature is going to do what she will".

The February thread next year shouldn't be "Fab February", it should be "Make Februaries Great Again" (or that should be posted in the subtitle).
 
NoSnowATL said:
So what did all the Mets miss this winter? MJO strength? Climate change? Aliens?


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People think they can outthink the climate. We are in a regime where warmth is predominate in our area. It won’t always be that way, but that’s how it is right now.
 
Storm5 said:
74 degrees on February 3rd . Fab Feb for the win !!! These backloaded winters are awesome


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How many febs out of the last 30 didn't hit 70 at birmingham?

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Tarheel1 said:
I tried Facepalm February, at the end of January, got deleted with the quickness, I guess optimism wins over reality!? Everybody knew first 2 weeks were toast, now looks like the whole thing will be a complete and udder dumpster fire! Until Marvelous March gets in range!
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Seems you have a lot of issues with our moderation today.

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