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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

For central NC we need to cash in as much in the initial overrunning, once SLP moves to atlantic we are screwed.
 
All the models showing a high impact event for most of NC, Raleigh and to the west. Still have three days to go, though.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
Never underestimate the wedge in NE GA. I don't see the city of ATL getting much of anything but as always Gwinnett, Forsyth, etc tend to hold on to the cold air longer.
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Living in NE Forsyth County, I’ve seen the wedge stay entrenched more than the models depict on several occasions .Feb. 2015, (I think it was 15), our cold rain turned to 0.4 ZR and knocked out our power.

I’m very interested to see the DP and the upper-air temps as the precip starts. Just my amateur two cents.

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Kylo said:
For central NC we need to cash in as much in the initial overrunning, once SLP moves to atlantic we are screwed.
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The surface map is not translating to the snowfall accumulation map on the Euro. Its showing rain on the surface map but the backside gives me an additional 3" of frozen precip. Not sure what's going on between the two.
 
CF16C2E0-9D84-4D14-B570-2515429FEC2F.png The best example of 85 and N, I have ever seen on a model output!
 
bud006 said:
Living in NE Forsyth County, I’ve seen the wedge stay entrenched more than the models depict on several occasions .Feb. 2015, (I think it was 15), our cold rain turned to 0.4 ZR and knocked out our power.

I’m very interested to see the DP and the upper-air temps as the precip starts. Just my amateur two cents.

—30—


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

I remember the ice storm here around this same time in December 2002. We were just supposed to have cold rain that night.
 
The only question here appears to be what will the temps be during the event. I think the CAD could end up being stronger than modeled here, which would give us more frozen precip. I don't think it will be all snow, but will mix at times with sleet and freezing rain, but I could see it end up being more frozen precip than rain. A degree or two can make all the difference, as well as where exactly you are located when it comes to Wake County.
 
I like this run of the Euro, great classic 850 low track from Dallas to central Mississippi to just south of Wilmington. I expect things will trend a bit colder if that holds. A lot of complex things to figure out in regards to phasing and the backside snow on this system. The initial front end snow looks legit and quite heavy.
 
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