Wintry Palm Sunday NC and VA Winter Storm

[Webberweather53]

Pretty much just echoes what I said above. Even if some of the NWP models look meh I’d be on stand by along the HWY 64 and I-40/85 corridors, have to really like your chances for some wet snow NW of the Triad atm however.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Meanwhile the 6Z ICON seems to support ZR or sleet for areas. Have to see if the 12Z will keep it.

 

[Webberweather53]

Meanwhile the 6Z ICON seems to support ZR or sleet for areas. Have to see if the 12Z will keep it.

Yeah this could get dicey for the I85 corridor in GA and SC if the CAD is a little stronger and we muster a few more degrees at the sfc

 

[Metwannabe]

I'm just going to toss the GFS, ride the NAM to glory or off the cliff...... there would no doubt be some ip on the GFS though

Sounding over Brick's house

 

[Webberweather53]

 

[Brick Tamland]

Sounding over Brick's house

Is this good?

 

[packfan98]

Wow. That’s really close to a heavy wet snow sounding. Could definitely go either way for the I-40 corridor.

 

[Webberweather53]

Is this good?

The column isn't fully saturated in that sounding (which doesn't seem likely here) but if it was it would be a tick colder than advertised thus, you'd likely have wet snow possibly mixed w/ sleet or rain. It's marginally conducive to wintry precipitation

 

[Metwannabe]

Is this good?

It's borderline with a slight warm nose but not sure if the column cools enough for ip..... you really need this too cool about a degree or two

 

[Webberweather53]

Wow. That’s really close to a heavy wet snow sounding. Could definitely go either way for the I-40 corridor.

Yeah one or two more runs like that and Asheboro-Siler City/Pittsboro-Raleigh-Wilson is in business and vis versa

 

[Brick Tamland]

All it takes is a couple degrees difference.

 

[Webberweather53]

12z ICON is considerably better for NC, eventually snows down to HWY 64.

 

[Webberweather53]

Huffman's forecast.

 

[Metwannabe]

Huffman's map....man I hope he nails this one.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

 

[Metwannabe]

Huffman's forecast.

I was a smidge too slow... Lol

 

[Webberweather53]

NWS snowfall forecast.

 

[Webberweather53]

No real significant changes to the latest EPS suite, however there was a pretty sizable jump in the 1"+ 10:1 SLR probabilities for the Charlotte metro.

 

[ForsythSnow]

NWS snowfall forecast.

No real significant changes to the latest EPS suite, however there was a pretty sizable jump in the 1"+ 10:1 SLR probabilities for the Charlotte metro.

Lol weathermodels.com watermarks looks like a good forecast.

 

[Metwannabe]

Lol weathermodels.com watermarks looks like a good forecast.

Yeah Eric quit teasing and post the actual pictures.... Lol

 

[Nomanslandva]

GFS shifted south again but CMC and RGEM were waaaay south.