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Pattern November Knock-Out

Could it be possible the models don't know how to handle the tanking AO?
 
18z Folks the take away is the nice blocking from the Model, the setup is there for some prolonged cold air for the U.S!!
 
Gfs sucks, hope no one expected it to spit out anything remotely close to the 12z run

12z

Vs

18z
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