Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[Storm5]

Officially 1,000 members !!!! Thanks everyone

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[Webberweather53]

Hey Eric you can answer this. Is the algorithm for Kuchera snow maps messing up. I noticed it always looks less than the regular 10:1. I feel like we should average around 14:1

It's probably going to be higher than Kuchera shows, while the high moisture content of the heavier snow would contribute to lower SLR I think it's unrealistic to assume they'll be 10:1 unless you're mixing w/ rain which doesn't seem too likely for most of the event from RDU & points NW

 

[Arcc]

I know it's been said twice, but that band looks like it's trending even slower.

 

[Shawn]

Hey Eric you can answer this. Is the algorithm for Kuchera snow maps messing up. I noticed it always looks less than the regular 10:1. I feel like we should average around 14:1

It uses temps in the column (other jargon) but like; it might be seeing warmer air in some areas, aloft or at surface level.

 

[Parker]

Very very light dusting in McCalla with temp at 29 degrees. Hoping the bands will continue to hit, because we have hit a lull. Going to be hard to pick up any appreciable accumulation without a nice long and consolidated snow band.

New snow band cranking right now.

 

[Kylo]

GFS with a cut off low now

 

[tucker]

I’m learning that not even radar is the best indicator of snow with this event. The snow is dry and fine, so it doesn’t show up with as heavy of a return on radar.

I agree with this.

 

[Parker]

I know it's been said twice, but that band looks like it's trending even slower.

We are in a lull here after about a 30 minute snow band that produced a very light dusting. Hope things get there acts together soon.

 

[Stormlover]

Several models showing sub zero in north Alabama tonight, clearling skies, calm winds and snow cover...zero here we come

 

[David in SW Blount]

View attachment 3163 Hopefully going to get one decent band for the day.

Yep if we can just get that band in here without vaporizing!

 

[Arcc]

I’m learning that not even radar is the best indicator of snow with this event. The snow is dry and fine, so it doesn’t show up with as heavy of a return on radar.

Nope, I imagine we will see snow for a while after the band leaves and the s/w puts the squeeze play in effect.

 

[Arcc]

Well well out of nowhere band shows up and now we are sitting under a nice little snow shower. Big fat flakes falling hard too!

You and Xtreme look great right now.

 

[BPATL]

It is 16 degrees 80 miles from NW burbs of Atlanta.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

GFS with a cut off low now

Columbia,SC will see no more than maybe an Inch of Snow because if we get mixing that would definitely cut totals and system slower on all models now which will bring it into the state from about 8am-1pm than originally expected 6am-10am where temps would have been colder.

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

HRR 20z seems like it opens a fire hose on most of north and central ga

 

[MSnowAtl]

Looks like ATL may get a little rain to start the event. Just enough to lay down a nice base for ice later and enough to wash off the brine.

Negative!!

 

[CentralGAColdFront]

I'm sitting at a warm 57 degrees, but things appear to be trending on the upswing for my area in regards to the accumulations occurring tomorrow morning.

 

[accu35]

I know it's been said twice, but that band looks like it's trending even slower.

Slower the better right? Decent returns if this slows?

 

[Avalanche]

Columbia,SC will see no more than maybe an Inch of Snow because if we get mixing that would definitely cut totals and system slower on all models now which will bring it into the state from about 8am-1pm than originally expected 6am-10am where temps would have been colder.

Timing is everything. We've had sunny skies all day and near 50 degrees. Now we have cloud cover to help secure that warm air from radiating back out tonight. No doubt some bl issues to start. Its going to take the 2nd flake to stick instead of the 1st.

 

[Arcc]

Slower the better right? Decent returns if this slows?

Yes

That band is really strengthening south of Tuscaloosa.