Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

[snowlover91]

By hour 60 it looks like most of it not the entire eye is stalled just north of Wilmington.

 

[accu35]

Hr 60 south bound

 

[Metwannabe]

We're actually two different people.... Lol

Looking like the 12z crowd so far wants to bring it inland before stalling out now..... good grief

So far on the 12 models, they are pushing Florence further nw before stalling, which has major implications for the inland track

 

[Rain Cold]

GFS at 60 is a decent bit west and inland from the 6z at 66.

 

[accu35]

There's your ridge

 

[Snowfan]

GFS looks ICON-like.

 

[snowlover91]

So far the trend I've noticed on the 12z runs is a slightly faster motion for longer that gets Florence closer to the coast or just inland before the stall/drift occurs.

 

[Metwannabe]

Yep

GFS at 60 is a decent bit west and inland from the 6z at 66.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

 

[Metwannabe]

Broken record comment: I hope y'all got generators, water, etc.... prolonged TS/H force winds well inland spells prolonged power outages. And that is not fun

 

[mrdaddyman]

Looking like the 12z crowd so far wants to bring it inland before stalling out now..... good grief

Wouldn't this be better overall though? It would weaken the storm quicker than if it was stalled out over the water.

 

[Brick Tamland]

ICON, RGEM, and GFS all farther west and inland near Wilmington?

 

[Metwannabe]

Wouldn't this be better overall though? It would weaken the storm quicker than if it was stalled out over the water.

I don't think so, no stall off shore allows it to make landfall as a stronger storm plus the inland effects will be much worse...

 

[accu35]

Hr 84 big drop south

 

[Webberweather53]

This is probably worth mentioning.

 

[accu35]

 

[ForsythSnow]

Anyone else think the wind field is going to explode in size at landfall to a size just smaller than Irma's? I'm thinking that because this storm keeps growing and it has a massive upper level wind field that has to go somewhere when it weakens.

 

[Snowfan]

GFS now in central South Carolina at 93 hours.

 

[accu35]

South vrs 6z

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Holy **** Wilmington is going to be under water. The rain never ends

 

[malak05]

From Hour 78 to 84 eyes moving SW it actually goes from Pressure drops from 988 to 966 so it's most likely holding strength