Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

[Snowflowxxl]

93 inches of rain on the ukmet... I didn't believe my eyes at first

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O. M. G.

 

[Shawn]

Assuming modeling is right as a whole, with just the stall out even, I'd expect Florence to be a retired name.

 

[Brent]

Assuming modeling is right as a whole, with just the stall out even, I'd expect Florence to be a retired name.

I've been figuring Florence was retired even before the recent runs

 

[StoneMtnWx]

Fv3 track through 120...

 

[vtrap90]

O. M. G.

I remember they had to make a whole new set of colors for what Harvey did to the Houston area last year. I really hope she doesn't stall that long to produce that much rain. There's no way. Right?

 

[Shawn]

I remember they had to make a whole new set of colors fot what Harvey did to the Houston area last year. I really hope she doesn't stall that long to produce that much rain. There's no way. Right?

You'd need like, 1.3 inches of rain an hour for 3 days for it.

 

[Brent]

Euro out to 48, approaching Wilmington, starting to slow down

72 hours basically stalled just offshore

96 hours moving SW off Charleston, looks to be headed for GA

 

[Brent]

Sunday landfall near Savannah

 

[Clem282340]

Sunday landfall near Savannah

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Where does it go after savannah

 

[Brent]

Where does it go after savannah

 

[Clem282340]

How much rain did the euro show

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Heavy Flooding Rain per 0z Euro for SC/NC

 

[maineweatherman]

How much rain did the euro show

A lot for the coastal plain. Probably underdone inland but we'll see. Free/shareable full res Euro via: https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/791-w-341-n/acc-total-precipitation/20180918-1200z.html

 

[maineweatherman]

Latest EPS (http://wx.graphics/models/eps_florence.png) lot of members doing the stall. One lone recurve

 

[Brent]

lots of those stay over water entirely for days

and some are headed for freaking Florida

 

[Clem282340]

What’s the euro mean

 

[Brent]

What’s the euro mean

I think the middle of the ensembles, like if you had to pick a track off it...

 

[maineweatherman]

Some pretty wacky solutions mixed in here. Stall/loop or retrograde SW/onshore is the basic idea. But that could take a lot of different forms http://wx.graphics/models/eps_florence.png

 

[maineweatherman]

If we can get this ring of -70C cloud tops to close off and maintain itself around the eye, and if we can eliminate that dry air on the western side, whoever finds the core is gonna have some big time troubles down the line. Right on the cusp of taking it to the 'next level' IMO, we'll see if it actually happens. Link to where I got this image from: https://weather.us/satellite/692-w-301-n/top-alert-superhd-1min.html#play2

 

[gawxnative]

Well thinking that NHC may very well expand some watch products south to near Darian Ga, just being prudent with the model trends. .. Thoughts?