Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

[Snowflowxxl]

ICON also a tick east out to 42

 

[Brick Tamland]

Track is further south after coming inland.

 

[Kylo]

3km would be a disaster for ILM.

 

[Snowfan]

3km would be a disaster for ILM.

View attachment 6225

I guess you can say North Carolina got NAM'd.

 

[Arcc]

We've seen this movie before when Hurricane Katia unexpectedly developed and became quite intense in the Bay of Campeche as Irma was tracking near FL.

Hmm if that trend continues we may just see this threaten GA or FL from the NE. Crazy turn of events.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Track is further south after coming inland.

View attachment 6226

Jeeez all of Georgia is just about covered now!

 

[Rain Cold]

Obviously its the 3k nam so taking it FWIW its getting some solid winds into mby

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Big wind is literally one county away.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

3kNAM in line with the stall and crawl idea. It looked a lot like the 12z euro at the end of the run imo

 

[Snowfan]

The cone now extends even further into GA/AL.

 

[Storm5]

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[accu35]

You can see the very cold cloud tops surrounding it.

 

[Snowfan]

ICON just slowly moves south off the coast of North Carolina at 96.

 

[SD]

Big wind is literally one county away.

Yeah we are riding a fine line right now. If we see florence get inland of the nc coast and we are into the 60+ gust territory

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[Webberweather53]

NHC placed the center at 28.4N on this advisory package, but the latest hurricane hunter center fix is actually down near 28.1N. Sigh...

 

[RollTide18]

You can see the very cold cloud tops surrounding it.

She’s taking a beating from that shear

 

[Snowflowxxl]

The closer Florence gets the further everyone gets from knowing wtf is going on. Literally a major disaster for multiple states on the way and this thing could go anywhere. Crazy ain’t it

 

[Weatherlover92]

ICON just slowly moves south off the coast of North Carolina at 96.

Moving west into Central SC by hr. 114.

 

[SnowNiner]

According to nhc discussion, the new track is right of guidance consensus. I take that to mean they're just not ready to pull the trigger on the captain hook sw track. I don't blame them. I don't buy it either.

 

[Kylo]

ICON similar to NHC track but slower. I bet there is 30-40" rain being modeled in SE NC.

 

[Snowfan]

ICON now has Florence in central South Carolina at 114. It made landfall near the SC/NC border. If this run verifies, ATL could get some rain and gusty winds.