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Pattern Jarring January

Discussion in 'General Weather' started by ForsythSnow, Dec 23, 2017.

  1. pcbjr

    pcbjr Supporter Member

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    There was, but it never froze; stayed all liquid ...
     
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  2. RollTide18

    RollTide18 Member

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    18z GFS running
     
  3. RollTide18

    RollTide18 Member

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    Here she is

    [​IMG]
     
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  4. RollTide18

    RollTide18 Member

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  5. Shawn

    Shawn Staff Member Administrator Site Developer

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    Not many changes, but what I do see; there should be a slightly different evolution based on H5. Might not be too shabby!
     
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  6. deltadog03

    deltadog03 Meteorologist Member

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    Gfs gonna be close
     
  7. RollTide18

    RollTide18 Member

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    Looks a bit drier than 12z
     
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  8. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

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    Less moisture this run. THE DRY AIR HAS RETURNED! Lol, the 500mb vort is further south.
     
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  9. Snowflowxxl

    Snowflowxxl Member

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    Still a decent hit for NC
     
  10. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

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    Lol last thing I'm worried about is the gfs . Its only been on board for one run anyway

    Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
     
  11. Cary_Snow95

    Cary_Snow95 Member

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  12. GeorgiaGirl

    GeorgiaGirl Member

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    Like I said, any of us southwest of NC are going to need that GOM tap, which the Euro did have as possible. Maybe west of SC actually, let me look again.
     
  13. whizrtr

    whizrtr Member

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    Spann:
    WINTER MISCHIEF NEXT WEEK? Monday will be dry with a high in the upper 40s, but a clipper type system will arrive Tuesday with a fresh supply of very cold air. Global models are suggesting some Gulf moisture could become involved in this, with potential for some light accumulating snow over a decent part of Alabama. The GFS even hints some snow could fall as far south as Mobile, Fairhope, and Gulf Shores by Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning.

    The ensemble mean from the reliable European global model is showing about one inch of snow for North/Central Alabama, with potential for heavier amounts in a few spots to the south, where moisture will be deeper. Needless to say, it is way too early for a specific forecast on snow amounts and impact, but just be aware of the potential.
    [​IMG]
     
  14. Arcc

    Arcc Supporter Member

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    Absolutely. Anybody hoping for a big hit with the clipper only are setting themselves up for probable heartbreak.
     
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  15. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    Wow, still looks great for NC. GFS is being consistent with that.
     
  16. GaWx

    GaWx Supporter Member

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    Looking out further ahead, I'm now watching the Happy Hour run to see if that Arctic high of the 12Z run that comes down here 1/22 does the same on this run.
     
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  17. sigwx

    sigwx Supporter Member

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    Yeah if you get a dusting to half inch down here that is a big win. 1" would be.............
     
  18. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    This comes to about 3 feet of 5 day bulls-eye snow for me... what could possibly go wrong? [​IMG]

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  19. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

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    For sure not looking for a big hit out of this setup. But I'll sure as hell take an inch with temps in the 20s

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  20. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    Nothing. This one is going to be a good one.
     
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  21. CentralGAColdFront

    CentralGAColdFront Member

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    I can honestly never remember a clipper producing any type of measurable snowfall in my area, but there's always a first time for everything.
     
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  22. Avalanche

    Avalanche Member

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    Yeah, we all know clippers are anemic. WRAL mentioned it but said not to expect much if anything, as if we were....its a clipper for goodness sakes.
     
  23. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    They wouldn't say anything more no matter what this far out.
     
  24. NorthGaWinter4

    NorthGaWinter4 Member

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    I’m not hoping for a clipper I’m hoping the low taps into the gulf earlier
     
  25. Avalanche

    Avalanche Member

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    The clipper of 95 produced towering cumulonimbus clouds that gave a brief, but heavy burst of snow that gave a dusting here in Chatham/Orange. With a clipper, that's what you get.
     
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  26. GeorgiaGirl

    GeorgiaGirl Member

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    Thing is, there's late bloomer potential when you get to the Carolinas. It's not just a clipper.
     
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  27. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    Like 1300 said, this is not your run of the mill clipper.
     
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  28. Avalanche

    Avalanche Member

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    Hopefully it can spawn a L somewhere.
     
  29. Stormlover

    Stormlover Member

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    When is a thread for Monday night/Tuesday going up?
     
  30. Avalanche

    Avalanche Member

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    Waiting for more model verification?
     

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