The NAM is doubling down
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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
The latest NAM seems to get the SW flow going into the Carolinas, is that right or good?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We're getting well inside 48 hours on the NAM and it's not backing down, usually a good sign for other models to follow which they have to an extent today...
Stormsfury
Member
Tge NAM at 850mb is 4C in SAV. There are multiple swirls at 850mb and winds are choatic at that level. There's definitely some kind of inverted trough (norlun probably) involved here.
Jon
Member
Massive hit SE GA. Expect 10-12”+ rough estimate. SC is next
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Larry gets pounded!
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The big shield of precip breaking out over the NE Gulf coast and south-central GA before the main low really gets going off the SE US coast is very Jan 2000-esque...
precip further west. Midland crush job incoming
Jon
Member
Should be snow. I’d have to look at soundings but it doesn’t look like ice especially given rates and 850 temps.
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Good lord the NAM is gonna bury Larry
Avalanche
Member
Wish this thing could inch its way into the Triangle area. This kind of reminds me of 2001 when Rocky Mount on east got close to a foot while we were wondering what happened. At least this time around its not forecasted here as we are forecasted to be overcast while 40 degrees. Good thing, its driving distance!!!
I don't think it went further West, stayed about the same.
Looks like there will be some mixing issues in Se Ga for a time which will cut down on sn totals but then the 850's crash and boom..
Stormsfury
Member
RollTide18
Member
All In
GeorgiaGirl
Member
I'll give it up for the NAM. Sure as heck isn't backing down, and RollTide that might be virga westward.
Jon
Member
2”/6hr LIQUID on GA/SC border. Wow.
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LP track much further West but what happened to the precip shield over NC!?
slp closer to the coast, this precip shield will be more expansive to the NW no doubt..
