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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

You are correct but you have it reversed on the mesoscale models. Its the ARW that is dry, at least on what I looked.

For me, the ARW is wet. May be different for you. Bottom line is they are worlds apart.


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Judging by these comments yall are making me think this NAM run is gonna be bad
 
I’m interested to see how much stronger the northern stream trends this run and what implications it has downstream. Definitely more south and stronger at 36hrs


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Lol NWS RAH is riding model consensus right now... Not to mention they're using climatological 9:1 snow-liquid ratios. Seriously, who came up w/ that here. Ok, if you're expecting sleet that's fine but w/ temps in the mid 20s, SLR are going to be at least 12 maybe 15 to 1. *shrugs*
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