Snowlover87
Member
Huge rainfall event possible for Georgia. I’m a little skeptical though. 
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Severe April 8-12 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
tractor girl
Member
NAM 3k for around 10am tomorrow morning in my area
Last edited:
tractor girl
Member
South Carolina mid day with dew points in the upper 60s
tractor girl
Member
No change in text discussion from NWS earlier today:
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 232 PM EDT Wed Apr 10 2024
Primary forecast issue for the day will be the potential for
thunderstorms and severe weather, including flash flooding, across
southern portions of the CWA this evening and into the overnight
hours.
Strong/severe line of thunderstorms moving east along the Gulf Coast
this afternoon. The models have struggled with this system from run
to run, especially the track of the system. This initial system may
bypass much of the CWA to the south, but the SW corner of the outlook
area would have the best chances from seeing any convective impacts
from the line.
The hi-res models continue to fire shra/tsra on the backside of any
initial line that moves through during the evening in association
with strong mid level energy/trough. This secondary system may end up
evolving into another broken line of strong/potentially severe
thunderstorms overnight and into early Thursday morning. The primary
convective severe hazards will be damaging wind gusts and brief
tornadoes.
The secondary area of convection likely to develop with the
trough/strong shortwave energy will likely impact areas well north
of the Columbus to Macon line overnight. The convective mode may be
a bit more messy than down south, with widespread showers with
embedded thunder.
Another potential hazard will be heavy rainfall across portions of
the southern CWA. With repeated convective systems moving across,
each one producing locally heavy rainfall, have gone ahead and
issued a Flood Watch for the potential for flash flooding. For areas
mostly along and south of a line from Columbus to Macon and along
and west of I-75. Widespread 2 to 4 inches of rainfall is likely
with some locally higher amounts up to 5 inches possible.
Winds are expected to become gusty behind the front later Thursday
into Thursday night. The pressure gradient will tighten as a
deepening low pressure system moves from the Lower Mississippi River
Valley into the Ohio Valley tonight and early Thursday. Will hold
off issuing a Wind Advisory for now, but it may need to be
considered on later shifts.
NListemaa
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 232 PM EDT Wed Apr 10 2024
Primary forecast issue for the day will be the potential for
thunderstorms and severe weather, including flash flooding, across
southern portions of the CWA this evening and into the overnight
hours.
Strong/severe line of thunderstorms moving east along the Gulf Coast
this afternoon. The models have struggled with this system from run
to run, especially the track of the system. This initial system may
bypass much of the CWA to the south, but the SW corner of the outlook
area would have the best chances from seeing any convective impacts
from the line.
The hi-res models continue to fire shra/tsra on the backside of any
initial line that moves through during the evening in association
with strong mid level energy/trough. This secondary system may end up
evolving into another broken line of strong/potentially severe
thunderstorms overnight and into early Thursday morning. The primary
convective severe hazards will be damaging wind gusts and brief
tornadoes.
The secondary area of convection likely to develop with the
trough/strong shortwave energy will likely impact areas well north
of the Columbus to Macon line overnight. The convective mode may be
a bit more messy than down south, with widespread showers with
embedded thunder.
Another potential hazard will be heavy rainfall across portions of
the southern CWA. With repeated convective systems moving across,
each one producing locally heavy rainfall, have gone ahead and
issued a Flood Watch for the potential for flash flooding. For areas
mostly along and south of a line from Columbus to Macon and along
and west of I-75. Widespread 2 to 4 inches of rainfall is likely
with some locally higher amounts up to 5 inches possible.
Winds are expected to become gusty behind the front later Thursday
into Thursday night. The pressure gradient will tighten as a
deepening low pressure system moves from the Lower Mississippi River
Valley into the Ohio Valley tonight and early Thursday. Will hold
off issuing a Wind Advisory for now, but it may need to be
considered on later shifts.
NListemaa
Ron Burgundy
Member
Wake low blowing through NGA right now. Power out all over the place
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SnowwxAtl
Member
How long does this suppose to last?
Wake lows are a cool weather feature. This particular one has already lasted longer than many I have experienced.
83k out in Georgia 
HRRR has some pretty legit gusts through tomorrow morning. Probably can knock 20% off these numbers but still high
Ron Burgundy
Member
Should be winding down soon per the SWS
Crazy pressure reading from my Ambient station as the low moved through
Windergawx
Member
Pretty strong wind atm 40mph atleast
SnowwxAtl
Member
When does this wake low moves out?
Windergawx
Member
Hrrr looks pretty impressive this morning, with semi-discreet convection and moderate instability ahead of the cold front. The big rain shield that looked to limit the threat a day or 2 ago didn’t really occur. Now we’re staring down a more interesting threat. Some of those Hodographs showing up are truly impressive for our area. If storms can overcome the mid level warmth, then a higher tornado threat is there
2 in of rain in Charleston so far this morning and another 1-2 in expected
HRRR been staying excited all morning, placement/existence of storms is gonna remain in question until game time
Makeitsnow
Member
At about 1am last night I had sustained east to southeast winds of 25 to 28mph with a top gust of 41. And about 30 seconds later the power got knocked out. Naturally few minutes later the winds dropped off quite fast. There were quite a few outages east of athens but fortunately it was only out for a few hours. Overall a short but impressive wind event.
New hrrr is impressive. With the lack of rain this morning and the morning mcs getting out of the way quickly we have some time to recover
definitely some support for a sneaky set up that flies under the SPC's radar. why they still have ohio as a 10% tor chance is a puzzling choice.
I think Asheboro-ish has a shot at a solid supercell right around sunset. Higher tor potential probably along a corridor NW of I-85