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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again
- Thread starter GaWx
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- inspired by mack
Cary_Snow95
Member
I’m beginning to think we are really just scratching the surface with the potential cold. At the end of the run you start seeing some big dog artic highs sprawling down with a very stormy look..
whatalife
Moderator
Yep! Absolutely breathtaking especially considering the last several Decembers.
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accu35
Member
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Right on, the overall cold pattern is what we need. Very awesome, as long as we can keep the cold around eventually the storms will come. The ball game is just started
BillT
Member
the cold also prepares the ground for snow to stick, and this time of year often something called the "pineapple express" starts sending moisture into the atmosphere flowing across the se....ground cold could make that an over running event......most of the players needed for snow in the se appear to be gathering ready to step onto the field.
accu35
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Is the 18z gefs out yey?
Only problem with such an exceptional run is that when it goes back to just a great run, people will probably be disappointed!
Still, it is really, and The Rock means REALLY great to see such a cold pattern showing up so early in the season, especially given the multitude of warm winter forecasts out there. It will be nice not to have to wait till the second half of winter to chase the cold for a change...assuming this ends up verifying.
Still, it is really, and The Rock means REALLY great to see such a cold pattern showing up so early in the season, especially given the multitude of warm winter forecasts out there. It will be nice not to have to wait till the second half of winter to chase the cold for a change...assuming this ends up verifying.
Cary_Snow95
Member
18z GEFS looks pretty nice. Maintains the western ridge pretty well
SnowNiner
Member
That's a nice classic look right there, energy blossoming in the gulf, with highs sprawled across the top....shifting East across the south.......one day, I hope. Old weather channel stuff.trying to cook something up...
Chattownsnow
Member
I can't help but wonder what this whole thing would look like had it been occurring in the middle of January.
pcbjr
Member
February may be a stretch this year, but don't write off all of January just yet ...
As a reminder; It is early in the season and we are seeing modeling showing something we haven't seen in many years. It's early. I would not focus on one specific threat, as the setup will allow many chances at potential events throughout the period.
Personally, for the deep South, I'd like to see this setup towards the end of December, through February, but those in the upper Southeast can score many times easily at this time of the year, even.
Personally, for the deep South, I'd like to see this setup towards the end of December, through February, but those in the upper Southeast can score many times easily at this time of the year, even.
Chattownsnow
Member
oh don't get me wrong in thinking it's wasted too early in the season. The cold advertised gets you in the game for snow any time of the year. I just would be curious to see what this pattern would look like in mid January with a good snow pack in the middle of winter.February may be a stretch this year, but don't write off all of January just yet ...
Single digits and teens close to the FL. panhandle, and probably bad news in regards to ice storms for our coastal and deep deep south friends. Other than that, it'd be glorious during the relaxation periods where the cold air is still around/in place but little sliders eject through. Overruning galore.
WeatherWatch
Member
There will most likely not be a system during the first push of Arctic air. The trough is way too deep, the trough needs to relax some, which it's looking likely that it will. Before the next push of Arctic air, that's when a storm system could come about days 8-12, and maybe another chance at another storm system afterwords. The southern branch is going to be more active because of the polar low displacement. There could be system after system before each push of Arctic air. Temps moderate, system, Arctic cold push, repeat. This pattern could last the entire month of December, but that's going out on a stretch. Some system's may bring frozen precipitation for some or most, or none at all. But the chances are greater at receiving frozen precip. with each system in general during the upcoming most likely colder pattern that will occur.
Oh, there will be a system, just likely not for us. This has the hallmark look for a good system for the MID-ATL - NE as the first push comes through and low pressure likely develops off the coast.
I get where you're coming from in regards to the SE though.
whatalife
Moderator
I’m more curious as to what the 11-13 day time range may hold and as you have stated the latter part of December would be more favorable for most if we hold the cold.
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pcbjr
Member
Move this to Banter or delete if appropriate, but this really should be said ...
Larry (GaWx) has been on top of this for days and days, if not well more than a week. "This" being a pattern we have not seen in a long time. Larry lives in a place that hardly gets frozen precip. I for one am rooting for enough cold and suppression to get him some accumulation way down in SAV sometime this year. He really deserves it ... and he deserves all our thanks (not to exclude a bunch of other great posters who also deserve a ton of thanks, but Larry, unlike so many others, has so little skin in the game, yet he keeps us all up to date, which is worth a million kudos).
Thanks, Larry!
Larry (GaWx) has been on top of this for days and days, if not well more than a week. "This" being a pattern we have not seen in a long time. Larry lives in a place that hardly gets frozen precip. I for one am rooting for enough cold and suppression to get him some accumulation way down in SAV sometime this year. He really deserves it ... and he deserves all our thanks (not to exclude a bunch of other great posters who also deserve a ton of thanks, but Larry, unlike so many others, has so little skin in the game, yet he keeps us all up to date, which is worth a million kudos).
Thanks, Larry!
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