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Tropical Major Hurricane Maria

So close

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Everything that does go west seems like it hits a wall at the coast. So glancing blow worst case for now??? Told my kid in Wiliamsburg not to sweat it yet...but keep the car full.
 
Watch how the slightly slower Maria and weaker more NE Jose allows the ridges to bridge and Maria turns back west. If Jose doesn't erode the western edge of the atlantic ridge this has a chance to come farther west
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If this does make it West then slows down stalls before the trough kicks it out I could actually see this ending up being more of a rain / flooding threat.

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Regarding landfalls, FL & GA remain safe. SC is very close to safe but not a done deal up near Myrtle. NC obviously is still at risk, especially the OB. Regardless, the GFS pressures are laughably way too low imo like usual for just off the US east coast just like it was with Jose and also Irma in the FL Straits. Add 20+ mb & that should be closer.
 
Yeah I'm not so convinced Maria would be a significant hurricane even if it did make the obx the slow motion the shear and the fact jose just went over the same waters I'm guessing it'll probably be barely a hurricane at worst flooding would obviously be a bigger problem
 
Gfs is slightly stronger with the ridging this run but also slightly NE with Maria.

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