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Tropical Major Hurricane Michael

WRAL saying 45 mph wind here with gusts to 60, and 3 to 6 inches of rain Thursday.
NWS not impressed with wind potential, not sure they won't be playing a little catch up later. I know the Euro wind gust map is overdone but it has widespread 60+ gust over our area. Ok knock 10-15 off still 45-50 which seems plausible considering speed of movement. They have max 30 in Wake and upper 20's here.

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The Euro may not be overdone with wind gusts for NC. The 3km NAM handled the wind gusts very well for my area in Florence and other storms I’ve tracked. Here’s what it shows for Raleigh due to some baroclinic enhancement on the backside of the storm. This has been trending stronger btw.
4723B9FA-CFF0-4E95-94B2-CECA069D526E.png
 
The Euro may not be overdone with wind gusts for NC. The 3km NAM handled the wind gusts very well for my area in Florence and other storms I’ve tracked. Here’s what it shows for Raleigh due to some baroclinic enhancement on the backside of the storm. This has been trending stronger btw.
View attachment 6890
You got one of them pretty maps for SC?
 
Recon just found 931.7 extrap pressure... and SFMR of 125kts in NE quad. May be enough to get this upped to 145mph now.
 
Fv3 6z only approaching landfall at 961 and appears to have shifted slightly south in GA.
GFS 6z slightly south in GA and 958 st approach.
GA reference is to 1 position after entering GA.
 
I'm not sure that any have validity at this level.
It's not mentioned much, but HWRF-P does show Michael with a pressure of 926mb as it's about to make landfall in the FL panhandle.
EDIT: This is the 00z run last night.
hwrf-p_mslp_wind_14L_7.png
 
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