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Winter mix Sunday dec 20th

RGEM for tonight looks to be significantly colder at the surface than the NAM or any other model. That cold air sticks around as precip sets in. But I guess RGEM doesn't have heavy enough precipitation to generate a strong isothermal layer like the 3km NAM?

These surface temps are a known bias, right?
View attachment 58849

Yeah the RGEM surface temps are way too cold and its depiction of the low-level profile is lol.
 
clear skies currently.
Most DPs are 29 to 32 sc to va border. Only need another 3 degree drop temp wise.
 
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Based on radar, precip already snow over WNC, temps, this is gonna over perform imo. Surprise coatings in a lot of areas. Jackpot 1-3” not only in Watauga/Ashe but maybe off the MTN too...just don’t know where yet
 
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