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Tropical TS Imelda

Brent

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Special TWO code orange


Updated: Recent satellite, radar, and surface data show that the
area of low pressure located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico
near the Texas coast has become better defined this morning. The
associated thunderstorm activity has also increased and become a
little better organized. If these development trends continue, a
tropical depression could form before the system moves inland
later
today or tonight, but significant additional development is not
likely once the system moves inland.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and flooding remain the
primary hazards with this system. This disturbance is expected to
produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches with isolated
maximum totals of 15 inches across the upper coastal region of Texas
into far southwest Louisiana through Thursday. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flash floods. For additional information,
see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the
Weather Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
 

Brent

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Shocker could this be Imelda???

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven Special Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
1200 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS NEAR THE TEXAS COAST...
...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 95.4W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF FREEPORT TEXAS
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SW OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the coast of Texas
from Sargent to Port Bolivar.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sargent to Port Bolivar

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next few hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 PM CDT (1700 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven
was located near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 95.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through early
Wednesday. A north-northwestward motion is expected Wednesday night
and Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression
will move inland over the Upper Texas coast later today, and move
farther inland tonight and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible before the center moves
onshore.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulation of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum of 15 inches
across the upper coastal region of Texas into far southwest
Louisiana through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-
threatening flash floods.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the
warning area this afternoon and evening.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown
 

Brent

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Shades of Humberto 2007 which unexpectedly blew up into a hurricane in the span of 12 hours in this exact same area shouldnt have as much time here but we were one storm away from the same name lol

goes16_ir_11L_201909171712.jpg
 

Brent

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I cant keep up lol

Tropical Storm Imelda Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
1245 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM IMELDA...

Surface observations indicate that the depression has strengthened
as it nears the coast and has become Tropical Storm Imelda, with
maximum sustained winds near 40 mph (65 km/h). A National Ocean
Service observing site at Freeport, Texas, recently reported a
sustained wind of 40 mph (65 km/h) and a wind gust of 47 mph (76
km/h).


SUMMARY OF 1245 PM CDT...1745 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 95.3W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM S OF FREEPORT TEXAS
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SW OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brennan/Brown
 
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Checking the radar out of curiosity this morning there are two extremely intense training clusters of storms that have to be causing extreme flash flooding. Radar shows 5-6 inches just in the last hour. Echo tops has the storms up to 55,000 ft high.
 

Stormsfury

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Bands that have developed this morning are producing 3"-5" rain/hour rates per HGX .... Galveston had a dewpoint of 80° and PWATs are running 2.2"-2.4" inches...
FB_IMG_1568899088066.jpg
 

GaWx

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Here we go again. Another slow moving TC bringing historically heavy rains.
 

GeorgiaGirl

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Wonder if Imelda ends up retired because of the flooding rains from it.

and that should show to me to not speak too soon. Beware the ides of the I storm became true because of the flooding.
 

Tarheel1

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TWC was saying 10” pockets at worst, 2 days ago! Said it was moving a lot faster than Harvey!? Whoooops
 

Tarheel1

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TWC was saying 10” pockets at worst, 2 days ago! Said it was moving a lot faster than Harvey!? Whoooops
 

Henry2326

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Firsthand Weather says: Honestly, I have no idea how his vehicle didn't get swept away (based on what we can see in the video). This video taken in Winnie, TX along I-10 shows flooding similar to what occurred during Harvey. Just horrible! -Matthew

From Eduardo Martinez who shared this video: "I drove through the first time which wasnt even flooded. As I was waiting on a blocked barrier to open up. The water started raising so I popped a u turn, wasnt like this when I drove through it. If I would of stayed it would of flooded, I got behind a 18wheeler which opened up the way."



 
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