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Tropical TS Harold

Showers and thunderstorms have increased this evening, and are
becoming better organized in association with a trough of low
pressure located in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental
conditions appear favorable for development of this system as it
moves westward at about 15 to 20 mph across the central Gulf of
Mexico. A tropical depression or storm is likely to form as it
approaches the western Gulf of Mexico coastline by Tuesday.
Interests in the western Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress
of this system. Tropical storm watches or warnings may be necessary
on Monday for portions of the southern Texas and northern Mexico
coastlines.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
 
NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, located over the central Gulf of Mexico, at 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC).
 
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