Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lot of uncertainty yet, but well deserves close watching ...Model run down (as of 6z) for 92L... As is often the case w/ small tropical cyclones (for ex Danny (2015)), there's an unusually large amount of non-linearity and inherent instability amongst various NWP and potential solutions, and thus it's not going to take much for 92L to intensify into a bonafide "vortcane" or remain an open tropical wave once it reaches the southern Antilles on Tuesday.
HWRF: 80 KT category 1 hurricane
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GFDL: 60 KT Tropical Storm
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GFS Operational: 60 KT Tropical Storm
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GFS Parallel: 50 KT Tropical Storm
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ECMWF: 45 KT Tropical Wave axis
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CMC: 35 KT Tropical Wave Axis
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I have never seen "Potential tropical cyclone" before, but I saw them mentioning it in the 2017 updates for the NHC.
Maybe it will be Bret by morning, or tomorrow evening.92L looking better and better
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They are in the storm now. Max winds I could find unflagged was 47mph. If they find a closed center, this is a tropical storm.Looks like Recon is heading into the system.