Pattern Swamptember 2021

[SD]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

View attachment 90834

Everything cooldown wise has been past hour 300 lol, that z500 trend doesn’t matter because that’s very far out and is guaranteed to flip each run,
I thought this was Nicky b for a minute lol

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oh my

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Only if it was winter right

 

[SD]

Everything cooldown wise has been past hour 300 lol, that z500 trend doesn’t matter because that’s very far out and is guaranteed to flip each run,
I thought this was Nicky b for a minute lol

Most of our desirable weather lives past d10

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Only if it was winter right View attachment 90839View attachment 90840

By this point we will have a late winter sun angle. Does that count ?

 

[smast16]

No wonder the GFS isn’t really showing much of a big cooldown the last few runs, the trend with ridging out west in between 2 troughs which would help kick the ULL east is trending weaker, which means not much of a boot and the front not moving through, basically the pacific is trending to crap View attachment 90830

just getting in my practice now for this "trend" to be repeated ad nauseum this winter.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Oh my View attachment 90835View attachment 90836

Wow.. This is definitely going to be one to watch..

 

[Myfrotho704_]

View attachment 90837View attachment 90838

I posted this for the TC lol

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[jackendrickwx]

View attachment 90844

Can I has western ridge?

a lot of weenie dreams riding on the extended pattern uncertainty

 

[SD]

View attachment 90844

This is kind of why I posted that gfs run. You can see in the eps graph there are a lot of members in the 70s a few into the 60s for highs post D10. Does it verify? I doubt it but it's nice to see something other than copy paste 591s. BTW I do think the op gfs is entirely too extreme there isn't a lot to suggest an expansive poleward western ridge right now

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Th

Most of our desirable weather lives past d10

That's where 99% of our snow will live this winter as well. In all seriousness I bet only 1-2% of our fantasy totals end up as real snow.

 

[SD]

Also @Myfrotho704_ those years your posted the SST anomalies for in the winter thread ended up very much like this

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Also @Myfrotho704_ those years your posted the SST anomalies for in the winter thread ended up very much like this
View attachment 90846

Miller A time if things dig right

 

[SD]

Miller A time if things dig right

I wouldn't be opposed to a good October noreaster.

 

[SD]

Welp this euro run is going to suck. At least it wedges a little early next week

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s just stuck there lol

 

[SD]

It’s just stuck there lol View attachment 90849

Yep the jet is over south Canada...insert price is right fail horn