Severe Weather Threat - November 3rd-4th, 2022

[Taylor C]

The Storm Prediction Center has issued an enhanced risk (10% hatch tornado) for a large portion of eastern Texas, southeast Oklahoma, Southwest Arkansas, and northwest Louisiana. Model data is unusually confident in numerous severe thunderstorms and a significant tornado threat. The HRRR shows several long tracking and mature supercells with intense updraft helicity.

 

[Taylor C]

A moderate risk should come out with the next update. Nadocast is respectively upping the odds. This region has looked prime for numerous severe thunderstorms with a significant tornado risk. Things look to fire around lunch tomorrow and turn most sour through the afternoon and into the night.

 

[Snowfan]

Wow.