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Severe Severe Weather 2019

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Very dangerous look from 228hr-278hrs or so on the 18z GFS. The first system in this time frame is the "primer" system with a deep bermuda ridge over the Atlantic which sets up the second system. The second system is too amped verbatim, but that will be the system to watch assuming it verifies like that. The same setup happens again later on in the run as well.
 
Arcc said:
Very dangerous look from 228hr-278hrs or so on the 18z GFS. The first system in this time frame is the "primer" system with a deep bermuda ridge over the Atlantic which sets up the second system. The second system is too amped verbatim, but that will be the system to watch assuming it verifies like that. The same setup happens again later on in the run as well.
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Yep, constant ULLs/troughs digging in the SW than pivoting like that don’t bode well, central Plains aren’t gonna escape severe wx Forever either
 
Flagging next Sunday as the big threat to watch. Looking at last nights Euro, the Thursday/Friday system occludes and the front never makes it though the SE, which would make it a good primer system for the next s/w in the weekend.
 
I am locking this thread down and we will keep the discussion for this in the Monthly thread or the specific dates.


Thanks.
 
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