BrickTamland
Member
I wonder if any schools will close or dismiss early tomorrow.
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Severe Severe Threat March 15-16 2026
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
BrickTamland
Member
Post from Greg Fishel on Facebook.
Posted 3:10pm Sun, Mar 15, 2025
We are now in a Level 4 risk area for Monday. This is not common at all. Take this threat seriously! The probability of damaging straight line winds is 60% within 25 miles of a point, which is 240 times the probability on any given day in this part of NC this time of year. Tornados with wind gusts as high as 111-135 mph are possible. Remember that these probabilities are within 25 miles of a point, which means the probability at a given point is much lower. That is where the science is now. If a warning is issued for your area, go to your safe spot. And if nothing happens? Don't be mad, be thankful. And if something does happen, you've given you or your family the best chance to survive. If you're one of those folks who complains that you were inconvenienced for 30 ,minutes because you went to your interior closet and nothing happened, don't look for any sympathy from me. Next update tomorrow morning, early.
Posted 3:10pm Sun, Mar 15, 2025
We are now in a Level 4 risk area for Monday. This is not common at all. Take this threat seriously! The probability of damaging straight line winds is 60% within 25 miles of a point, which is 240 times the probability on any given day in this part of NC this time of year. Tornados with wind gusts as high as 111-135 mph are possible. Remember that these probabilities are within 25 miles of a point, which means the probability at a given point is much lower. That is where the science is now. If a warning is issued for your area, go to your safe spot. And if nothing happens? Don't be mad, be thankful. And if something does happen, you've given you or your family the best chance to survive. If you're one of those folks who complains that you were inconvenienced for 30 ,minutes because you went to your interior closet and nothing happened, don't look for any sympathy from me. Next update tomorrow morning, early.
Tsappfrog20
Member
From the NWS Raleigh weather briefing at 2pm
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At very least a lot of trees are only just now leafing out. That’ll help some with wind damage.
Our risk down there on the coast is slightly lower but if winds veer too much SSW/SW we may push the marine layer back a bit.
Our risk down there on the coast is slightly lower but if winds veer too much SSW/SW we may push the marine layer back a bit.
Even with faster timing on the 18z HRRR this is still capable of plenty of bad stuff
Northeast corner of Atlanta Metro stayed socked in with showers and clouds. Only getting to the low to mid 60’s. Probably will help dampen the threat some up there
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
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Will be heading out for a chase in south-central VA tomorrow
Tsappfrog20
Member
Don is not sugarcoating the possibility tomorrow
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Harnett County schools are going to have a remote learning day tomorrow for students and teachers. I would not be surprised if some of the other school systems follow suit.
This potential severe weather outbreak could be the most significant for Central North Carolina since 2011.
Downeastnc
Member
We’ve had a pretty good late day run at some rain and clouds. Hope this helps in the morning
the show begins
Downeastnc
Member
Pretty likely that even non thunderstorm gust into the 50's are likely over much of central and eastern NC tomorrow.
Tsappfrog20
Member
Not sure if it is true or not, but I heard from somebody else that Wake county schools was closed tomorrow
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My wife, who is a teacher, just got a message like that on her phone. It is not official but the person who posted it is also a teacher.
It's official now. Wake County schools will have a teacher workday tomorrow much to the satisfaction of my wife.
BrickTamland
Member
Just got the text.
Nice, i wonder if there any other highschoolers on this sub
HailCore
Member
I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t jealous of these little cells over SC. Looks like the perfect setup for mini supercells with nice structure and sub-severe/non-dangerous conditions. Hopefully some of yall get good photos of these little guys 
lcpdk
Member
Several in the Triad area announced closures
Shaggy
Member
Brunswick county schools closed for tomorrow in NC
Avalanche
Member
Is tomorrow going to be narrow squall line stuff or will there likely be areas of renegades out ahead of the line?
Tsappfrog20
Member
Could be some of both. Just depends some models have renegades forming ahead some don’t
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22z HRRR has a 70mph gust in the line tomorrow morning near Atlanta metro 
Packsox03
Member
I’m up in Maryland for spring break. The schools around here are dismissing 2 hours early. The tornado threat appears to be a little less here but the QLCS will produce some serious stuff