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Severe Severe threat February 24th

Surface winds are backed pretty good on 0z euro looking more likely some super cell development ahead of line which should produce tornadoes with surface base instability models been showing lately Getting concerning
Annie are you ok? Are you ok Annie
 
An upgrade to an enhanced risk of severe weather will likely occur here if more instability is realized in the warm sector. Could even see some residual marginal threat for wind in the Carolinas at day 4. Should be fun to monitor.
 
BE61B3DD-FAD3-4E24-B58E-F6F6C5354653.png If Jimbo is all in, I’m all in!
 
Greg Forbes has the TORCON for East Arkansas and West Tennessee at a 5. There is plenty of potential not that much if any crapvection, and hints on the NAM that we might get some cloud breaks in the delta.
 
The shear looks fairly unidirectional and storm mode won't be discrete too long as is often the case in Feb. It's honestly just nice to get a couple legit severe weather threats under our belt before things get interesting and/or hairy later on in the latter parts of spring and summer when this Kelvin Wave reaches the EP and tries to flip the ENSO base state and this low frequency pattern away from a western us trough.
 
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