SPC day 3-5 outlooks.
Things have really shifted south.
Things have really shifted south.
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Possible severe weather March 3-5
- Thread starter Darklordsuperstorm
- Start date
gawxnative
Member
Yep, for most on here will be a Flood Threat (again)..
Interesting environment Tuesday supportive of low topped convection, and perhaps low topped supercells, especially in NC/SC with what looks like a bit of a lee trough, extremely strong 5-8km winds aswell 
Gefs keeps pushing rain totals south and lowering them some. Great trends last 48 hours.
Wind profiles in Louisiana in the warm sector look nasty 
Small cell in Central Alabama trying to rotate a little
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suprised there’s no mention about this but the HRRR fires up supercells tommorow, HRRR/RAP have solid supercell composite numbers, I see that as opportunity for a good photo 
RAP shows nasty low level wind profiles, look at that impressive hodograph, that’s a thing of beauty 
Now that is impressive. Screaming supercells. Deep moisture and good 0-3km cape to boot.
Yeah, Streamwise vorticity central with that hodo, right over MBY, might just begin chasing tommorow instead of April/May if I have to.....
Don’t get blown away, low lcls and the more I look at it, that may be the nastiest sounding so far this year. Now I know you know this but it’s worth saying.?
Oof. That is nasty. If it keeps up, the SPC is going to have to make some big-time changes for the severe weather outlook.
Yeah, that sounding is quite worse than the profiles we dealt with with our last outbreak
Now that's concerning. Considering our last outbreak was pretty significant by February standards. Not to mention we had days notice that we would have severe weather. We're not even in marginal category for tomorrow. I hope one of our local mets can at least mention this. Otherwise, a lot of people are going to be caught off guard.
Another storm in Alabama trying to get some rotation.
I’m assuming the SPC is holding back Becuase most CAMs show rain lingering reducing any threat, however if the initial rain sheild clears out, than we got a problem
New 18z hrrr (I posted the 12z earlier) hrrr turns it into a little QLCS/mini MCS with trailing stratiform
New 18z hrrr (I posted the 12z earlier) hrrr turns it into a little QLCS/mini MCS with trailing stratiform
Downeastnc
Member
Low top super cells in March no less gave me my closest encounter with a tornado....it missed the house by 200 yrds and I watched it eat a bunch of Forestry service buildings right at the firetower on Firetower Rd in Greenville....
Then there was this monster which is DAMN impressive given the "storm" it was attached too....
Then there was this monster which is DAMN impressive given the "storm" it was attached too....
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Not exactly the Southeast but could be indicative of some of the storms later tonight in Arkansas and Tennessee.
Beefy looking storm in Southern Illinois/Kentucky.
Beefy looking storm in Southern Illinois/Kentucky.
Not that it can't change, but the fact that it was supposed to rain here today and now it's partly cloudy just screams possible forecast bust tomorrow, and not in a good way. If we don't have that main rain shield by the a.m., all bets all off. And with it being Super Tuesday tomorrow I feel like it's an omen of things to come. We've had some nasty outbreaks on election days.
RAP has backed off, still nasty soundings but not quite as impressive, looks like hrrr is slowing down the rain shield, which may put a damper on the severe threat