Brent
Member
National Guard being called in numerous reports of people trapped
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Severe POSS SEVERE WEATHER STARTING 05-17-2019 and BEYOND
- Thread starter PEA_RIDGE
- Start date
SPOTTERS REPORTING HUGE WEDGE NEAR AFTON
NoSnowJoe
Member
And the Weather Channel stopped their coverage
BOTH ST. LOUIS AND SPRINGFIELD NWS OFFICES HAVE TOR WARNINGS
NoSnowJoe
Member
Jefferson City Tornado, heavy damage being reported!
DALLAS CO MO. STORM STRENGTHENING IT HAS 2 HAIL CORES COMING UP!!!!!
FIRE DEPT CONFIRMS TORNADO NORTH OF LEBANON NEAR THE OK/MO BORDER MOVING TOWARD TIFF CITY AMD HART
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TORNADO HEADED TOWARD FT. LEONARD WOOD
FT LEONARD WOOD IS GETTING HIT
PATOKA IL, HAS RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
The size of the tornado that went through Jefferson City was amazing. Crazy how yesterday was worse than Monday when Monday's threat received all the hype beforehand. Yesterday went from a 0 to a 10 in just a couple of hours.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
TX panhandle in the moderate risk area today.
Third Moderate Risk this week.
Brent
Member
EF3 in Jefferson City
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Here we go again?
Given the strength of the low-level shear, a
strong, long-track tornado may occur if storms are able to remain
discrete enough and do not grow upscale.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Another one for northern OK and southern KS.
Mesoscale Discussion 0752
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019
Areas affected...Southern Kansas and Northern Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 231842Z - 231945Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...Convective initiation occurring along/south of a warm
front. Large hail is the primary threat, and a few tornadoes are
possible south/near the front. Watch likely, though timing
uncertain.
DISCUSSION...Regional surface observations and objective
mesoanalysis shows an east/west oriented warm front over the
northern tier of counties in Oklahoma, moving quickly northward, on
the precipice of entering southern Kansas. Regional satellite shows
boundary-layer cumulus developing along the front and steadily
obtaining greater vertical depth. Regional radar shows weak echoes
with this activity. It appears this will be a mechanism for
convective development over the next few hours. Storms that develop
along the front should become quickly elevated, although any storms
that linger or are able to ride along the boundary could pose a
tornado threat. However, the thermodynamic/kinematic environment
north of the boundary is quite support of large hail (MUCAPE
2000-2500 J/kg and effective shear 50-55 kt).
South of the warm front, additional convective development is
possible in the warm sector. Here, temperatures are in the low 80s F
with dew points in the low 70s F. Any storms that develop here will
also pose a large hail threat. A tornado threat will also exist with
this activity that resides in the warm sector or as it crosses the
warm front.
A watch is being considered for this region, however the timing of
watch issuance remains uncertain.
Mesoscale Discussion 0752
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019
Areas affected...Southern Kansas and Northern Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 231842Z - 231945Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...Convective initiation occurring along/south of a warm
front. Large hail is the primary threat, and a few tornadoes are
possible south/near the front. Watch likely, though timing
uncertain.
DISCUSSION...Regional surface observations and objective
mesoanalysis shows an east/west oriented warm front over the
northern tier of counties in Oklahoma, moving quickly northward, on
the precipice of entering southern Kansas. Regional satellite shows
boundary-layer cumulus developing along the front and steadily
obtaining greater vertical depth. Regional radar shows weak echoes
with this activity. It appears this will be a mechanism for
convective development over the next few hours. Storms that develop
along the front should become quickly elevated, although any storms
that linger or are able to ride along the boundary could pose a
tornado threat. However, the thermodynamic/kinematic environment
north of the boundary is quite support of large hail (MUCAPE
2000-2500 J/kg and effective shear 50-55 kt).
South of the warm front, additional convective development is
possible in the warm sector. Here, temperatures are in the low 80s F
with dew points in the low 70s F. Any storms that develop here will
also pose a large hail threat. A tornado threat will also exist with
this activity that resides in the warm sector or as it crosses the
warm front.
A watch is being considered for this region, however the timing of
watch issuance remains uncertain.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Tornado Watch issued.