That -NAO is legit. Not that so called one last year that was really just a big Canadian ridge. I like the west coast ridging up into the Yukon as well. If you want to get the rare late November storm east of the mountains that is how you'd do it.
gets down to 976 mb btw, would be nuts. nearly the same storm on master and control runs is interesting. Something to watch.holy ---- I would be pissedView attachment 95060View attachment 95061
Even still, there would just need to be some small changes in the set up, and western/central NC and the SC upstate could have a chance at significant snowfall. The first and most important piece is getting the cold airEh I guess it’s only November still but not badView attachment 95062
But man that H5 pattern is a thing of Beauty other then the AK trough View attachment 95063
If you want a chance at snow though this is the look you want also this is late November into early December … remember 2018 we had our early December storm .. it’s always possiblePretty classic pattern for cold rain Miller A cyclones given it’s only November, this a month later would be amazing View attachment 95064
E50 and goodnight. Winter's done!!
NAO - Perfect. Ridging out west - Much improved. And even showing a little STJ action. That's money in winter. In November, it at least puts us in the ballgame. Very nice to look at.
Alright I don’t think anyone can tell me there’s something wrong with this look in early DecemberEnds off with this View attachment 95069View attachment 95070
It certainly would be nice to see the STJ get a little active. In that set up. In both the LaNinas of ‘89-90 and 2000-01, the STJ started getting some activity late in November and continued much of December as well. Both of those years had winter storms in at least part of the Carolinas outside the mountains in the first few days of December. The other benefit of a more active STJ is that it can help to keep the SER pushed back a little bit as wellNAO - Perfect. Ridging out west - Much improved. And even showing a little STJ action. That's money in winter. In November, it at least puts us in the ballgame. Very nice to look at.
I think it's too early in the season for Atlanta and south. Need this pattern to repeat in January. Is that likely, given the background state of La Nina? I don't know, but this is nice for some below normal temps around Thanksgiving.Alright I don’t think anyone can tell me there’s something wrong with this look in early December
Yeah we probably cycle through something similar in Dec/JanI think it's too early in the season for Atlanta and south. Need this pattern to repeat in January. Is that likely, given the background state of La Nina? I don't know, but this is nice for some below normal temps around Thanksgiving.