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Wintry New Years Eve Light Wintry Mix The Anti ARCC/Xtreme Weather System

All in
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Lol too bad it’s the NAM and nothing supports but models always underperform on QPF and my area is full of overachievers so we are golden lol
 
Don't do unless you mean it, NAM. I dont need another shattered heart. Lol
 
Storm5 said:
Lol too bad it’s the NAM and nothing supports but models always underperform on QPF and my area is full of overachievers so we are golden lol
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Well can entirely say that now globals did improve on 12z for new years not enough but they could be playing catch up and RGEM had more moisture just a lil further West
 
FFC`s take on this:
The rest of the extended period remains quiet, except for the
Sunday into Monday time period where the main concern is the
timing of the colder air moving into the area from the northwest
and how much/how far north the moisture spreads. Overall, models
still continue to show a drying trend, although there are still
outliers, specifically the NAM. The GFS is the driest of the
models, while the ECMWF is just slightly more moist, keeping
deeper moisture to our south and any chances of precip across our
souther tier. The NAM is by far the most aggressive, pushing
deeper moisture all the way into the southern metro while bringing
in the colder air. Even with these differences, there is still
the potential to see wintry precip for portions of central
Georgia, albeit low. To account for these differences, have pushed
slight chance pops slightly further north into central Georgia.
Rain is expected along the southern tier, but there is the slight
chance for a mix of sleet and rain along the northern edge of what
precip does occur. With very low QPF amounts and surface
temperatures above freezing, no accumulations are expected.
Click to expand...
 
NAM nailed the Dec 7-8 storm and all of the global models have sucked for last month and a half...I have had a good feeling that we might see something.
 
Here in nw nc looks high and dry but cold. Hope you guys and gals to the south cash in on some ❄️ ❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
 
malak05 said:
He don't show us that we are using ever trick in the book over here to make out nice little new years event you k ow 10.1 ratios, all snow and magically northern expanse of precip fields hehe
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Just keeping it real.


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Let’s be real if we have any precip it’s gonna be sleet or freezing rain for the impact areas


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Code: 
 Station ID: KATL Lat:   33.64 Long:  -84.42                                                      
 NAM Model Run: 18Z 29DEC 2017 Cloud base and tops are now agl
  HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX   Tot    Snowfall  Vis
                Deg F  Deg F   deg      kt    in.   in.     Thk    GPH   Tmp   Tmp   mb   %  TEXT    Clouds      in    SM

  51 12/31 21Z   32     30     336       4    0.02  0.00    548    566    1.5 -14.3 1023 100 -PL   007OVC096    0.0    5.9
  54 01/01 00Z   31     28     329       5    0.04  0.00    546    567   -1.0 -14.2 1025 100 -PL   021OVC079    0.0   11.5

Code: 
 Station ID: KCAE Lat:   33.94 Long:  -81.11                                                       
 NAM Model Run: 18Z 29DEC 2017 Cloud base and tops are now agl
  HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX   Tot    Snowfall  Vis
                Deg F  Deg F   deg      kt    in.   in.     Thk    GPH   Tmp   Tmp   mb   %  TEXT    Clouds      in    SM

  57 01/01 03Z   28     24      26       6    0.03  0.00    543    564   -5.0 -14.6 1027 100       022OVC096    0.3    4.6
  60 01/01 06Z   27     22      24       7    0.02  0.00    541    562   -6.2 -15.2 1027 100       022OVC074    0.2   11.7
Code: 
 Station ID: KBHM Lat:   33.56 Long:  -86.74                                                       
 NAM Model Run: 18Z 29DEC 2017 Cloud base and tops are now agl
  HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX   Tot    Snowfall  Vis
                Deg F  Deg F   deg      kt    in.   in.     Thk    GPH   Tmp   Tmp   mb   %  TEXT    Clouds      in    SM

  45 12/31 15Z   31     28      16       5    0.01  0.00    549    570    3.8 -13.9 1026  97 -PL   022BKN081    0.0    5.3
Code: 
 Station ID: KCHS Lat:   32.89 Long:  -80.04                                                       
 NAM Model Run: 18Z 29DEC 2017 Cloud base and tops are now agl
  HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX   Tot    Snowfall  Vis
                Deg F  Deg F   deg      kt    in.   in.     Thk    GPH   Tmp   Tmp   mb   %  TEXT    Clouds      in    SM

  57 01/01 03Z   29     25     359       8    0.06  0.00    549    569    1.3 -14.1 1025 100 -FZRN 023OVC114    0.0    0.0
  60 01/01 06Z   28     24       3      10    0.07  0.00    548    567    0.1 -14.4 1025 100 -FZRN 014OVC108    0.0    4.1
  63 01/01 09Z   26     22       6      10    0.05  0.00    546    565   -1.4 -14.8 1025 100 -PL   037OVC093    0.0    3.2
 
Phil Connors said:
Who can pull the sounding at BMX for this time period?
Click to expand...

Code: 
 Station ID: KBMX Lat:   33.16 Long:  -86.75                                                       
 NAM Model Run: 18Z 29DEC 2017 Cloud base and tops are now agl
  HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX   Tot    Snowfall  Vis

  51 12/31 21Z   30     27     351       7    0.02  0.00    549    569    0.7 -13.9 1024 100 -PL   028OVC081    0.0    7.3
  54 01/01 00Z   28     22     348       8    0.01  0.00    547    569   -1.7 -13.7 1027 100 -SN   041OVC056    0.0   11.6
 
Who's got the RAP?
 
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